Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town v Bromley FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00 UTC

Final: Mansfield Town 2–1 Bromley FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prediction 53.72%1.86fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -4.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.23%53.68%53.72%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.7960.61%57.69%57.80%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bromley FC (Visit)

Prediction 22.01%4.54fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.462%
Kelly -0.597%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.73%21.93%21.96%23.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.214.204.4525.64%23.74%23.81%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.27%4.12fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -0.967%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.61%24.39%24.33%25.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.753.754.0028.17%26.64%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 53.72%; Bromley FC (Visit): 22.01%; Draw: 24.27%. For Bromley FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.45, with an expected value of -2.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 14:05
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 14:05
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 14:05
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%EV -3.85%E -2.15%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 14:05
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.64%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.16%EV -6.24%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-04 05:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 04:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -5.46%E -3.10%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 04:45
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.30%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -4.70%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -2.90%E -0.725%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-05 07:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 12:24
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.54%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 08:59
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.61%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 04:55
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.61%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 04:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.61%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 04:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.00%E -3.43%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -12.61%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 04:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -6.53%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 07:16
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -6.53%E -3.76%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 09:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -4.70%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -2.90%E -0.725%K -0.967%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -4.26%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-05 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 07:20
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 07:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-05 14:04
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.82%E -3.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.82%E -3.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -7.07%E -4.09%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -13.82%E -3.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-03 14:05
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.41%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.22%EV -2.94%E -0.666%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.37%EV -6.79%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 06:40
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.62%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-05 14:10
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.61%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-05 05:05
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -12.61%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-05 05:05
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-05 08:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -13.82%E -3.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.23%EV -7.61%E -4.42%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -13.82%E -3.89%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-03 14:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -8.15%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 05:00
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.89%EV -8.15%E -4.76%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-03 20:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.80%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -2.06%E -0.462%K -0.597%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.26%EV -6.79%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 06:40
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.33%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-05 04:35
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.91%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 07:12
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.91%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-05 07:15
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-05 06:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.18%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-05 06:39
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.68%E -5.11%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-04 04:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.97%EV -9.22%E -5.46%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -8.97%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-05 04:40
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.29%E -6.16%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-05 08:59
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.85%EV -10.29%E -6.16%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -14.16%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -12.61%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-05 13:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -11.37%E -6.89%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-05 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%2.8%2026-10-05 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%2.8%2026-10-05 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 54.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%3.4%2026-10-05 13:35
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%4.2%2026-10-05 13:40