Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Luton v Leicester City

2026-10-24 11:30 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Luton (Local)

Prediction 44.26%2.26fair odd
EV -6.17%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -5.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.93%44.26%44.26%44.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.092.082.1249.02%47.93%48.08%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leicester City (Visit)

Prediction 30.94%3.23fair odd
EV -5.62%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.54%30.94%30.94%31.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.902.973.003.0534.48%33.67%33.33%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.80%4.03fair odd
EV -5.76%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%24.80%24.80%25.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.733.803.8027.78%26.79%26.32%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Luton (Local): 44.26%; Leicester City (Visit): 30.94%; Draw: 24.80%. For Leicester City (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -5.62%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 11:45
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 11:45
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 11:45
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.86%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -5.62%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.76%E -1.52%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 11:50
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.53%EV -8.83%E -4.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.68%EV -7.48%E -2.50%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 11:55
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.96%EV -8.83%E -4.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.96%EV -8.83%E -4.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 11:45
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.96%EV -8.83%E -4.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.48%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 11:45
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 11:50
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.72%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.72%E -2.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-17 11:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.59%EV -9.71%E -4.76%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.24%E -2.23%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.