Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 7.25
assuming max odds 4.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lincoln City (Local): 65.20%; Blackpool (Visit): 13.77%; Draw: 21.02%. For Blackpool (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 7.25, with an expected value of -0.133%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.35%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.29%E -0.716%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 02:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -17.35%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.29%E -0.716%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 02:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -3.50%E -2.37%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -17.35%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 04:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.44%EV -4.81%E -3.29%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -20.11%E -3.47%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 02:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.44%EV -4.81%E -3.29%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -20.11%E -3.47%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 02:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.46%E -3.76%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.45%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.20%EV -0.133%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.36%EV -1.19%E -0.253%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.45%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.20%EV -0.133%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.36%EV -1.19%E -0.253%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.42%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 7.16I 13.97%NM 13.36%EV -1.37%E -0.192%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.22%EV -0.559%E -0.118%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -3.58%E -0.511%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -3.29%E -0.716%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.58%E -0.511%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 14:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.02%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.02%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.02%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -7.02%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -10.65%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 05:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 12:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -17.35%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:06 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -17.35%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 05:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -17.35%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 05:43 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -17.35%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -11.70%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 05:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -4.95%E -0.718%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -6.45%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.56%EV -4.95%E -0.718%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -6.45%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.97%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 7.09I 14.10%NM 13.21%EV -2.34%E -0.330%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -0.133%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 12:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -0.133%E -0.018%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 12:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.57%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -9.60%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -10.65%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-26 15:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -10.65%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 11:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -14.60%E -2.35%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -9.60%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.14%EV -8.07%E -5.72%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.14%EV -2.20%E -0.310%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.22%EV -8.07%E -5.72%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.58%E -0.511%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -10.65%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -8.07%E -5.72%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 12:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -8.07%E -5.72%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.75%EV -8.07%E -5.72%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.26%EV -11.84%E -1.85%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -8.55%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.68%EV -8.07%E -5.72%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -3.58%E -0.511%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -9.60%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.97%E -2.07%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -8.72%E -6.23%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -17.35%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -24.32%E -6.75%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-02-26 19:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -10.02%E -7.26%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.58%E -0.511%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -7.50%E -1.70%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -11.33%E -8.33%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -10.46%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -0.139%E -0.029%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -11.33%E -8.33%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -3.58%E -0.511%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -11.33%E -8.33%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -3.58%E -0.511%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.39%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.02% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.46% | 1.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |