Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 3.44
assuming max odds 3.82
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leyton Orient (Local): 45.26%; Peterborough United (Visit): 29.06%; Draw: 25.69%. For Peterborough United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.441. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.440, with an expected value of -0.040%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -2.40%E -0.631%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.67%EV -3.15%E -1.47%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.50%EV -5.85%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.67%EV -3.15%E -1.47%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.50%EV -5.85%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -4.06%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.82%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -4.06%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.82%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.25%EV -4.06%E -1.91%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.82%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.68%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.68%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -4.96%E -2.36%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.83%E -4.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -5.87%E -2.82%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.68%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.87%E -2.82%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -5.87%E -2.82%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.53%EV -6.32%E -3.05%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.00%EV -0.040%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.48%EV -2.91%E -0.770%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -3.68%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.96%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.37%E -3.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.82%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -7.22%E -3.52%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -8.58%E -4.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -3.53%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -7.02%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.58%E -4.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -2.65%E -0.793%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.82%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.58%E -4.25%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -2.65%E -0.793%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.82%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.50%EV -9.03%E -4.49%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.03%EV -6.43%E -2.00%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.47%EV -1.88%E -0.493%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -9.49%E -4.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -2.40%E -0.631%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.49%E -4.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.49%E -4.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.49%E -4.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.49%E -4.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -9.49%E -4.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.49%E -4.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.49%E -4.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.49%E -4.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.49%E -4.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.49%E -4.74%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.84%E -5.50%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -13.56%E -7.10%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -20.38%E -6.57%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.53% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.34% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.57% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32% | 2.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |