Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leyton Orient v Blackpool

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Prediction 41.89%2.39fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%41.98%41.84%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.182.202.3048.08%45.93%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Blackpool (Visit)

Prediction 31.44%3.18fair odd
EV -0.954%
Edge -0.303%
Kelly -0.444%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.49%31.32%31.42%32.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.1536.36%33.42%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.67%3.75fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -0.955%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.03%26.70%26.73%27.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.453.503.6230.30%28.97%28.57%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leyton Orient (Local): 41.89%; Blackpool (Visit): 31.44%; Draw: 26.67%. For Blackpool (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.15, with an expected value of -0.954%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -9.44%E -3.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.99%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.24%E -2.46%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.99%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 18:15
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.99%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 18:15
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.99%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.39%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 18:15
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.71%EV -7.01%E -3.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.09%EV -4.10%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.20%EV -3.46%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 18:15
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.09%EV -7.01%E -3.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.36%EV -6.30%E -2.11%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -6.12%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 18:10
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.67%E -1.89%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 17:00
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -10.39%E -3.64%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 18:15
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -11.96%E -4.27%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 18:14
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.99%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 18:10
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.99%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.99%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.81%E -3.04%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.99%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 18:10
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.52%E -4.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.954%E -0.303%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.52%E -4.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.954%E -0.303%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:00
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.52%E -4.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.954%E -0.303%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.52%E -4.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.954%E -0.303%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 19:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.52%E -4.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.954%E -0.303%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 19:55
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.52%E -4.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.954%E -0.303%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -9.52%E -4.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -0.954%E -0.303%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.66%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:00
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -9.94%E -4.62%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -13.53%E -4.92%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.32%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-10 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -12.04%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -4.10%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -10.66%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 20:01
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -12.88%E -6.19%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -4.10%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 20:00
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -12.88%E -6.19%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -4.10%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -12.88%E -6.19%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -4.10%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.66%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 20:00
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.25%EV -12.88%E -6.19%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -4.10%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -11.99%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-10 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.25%EV -12.88%E -6.19%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -4.10%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -11.99%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-10 20:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%11.3%2026-10-10 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 44.93%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.78%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%11.3%2026-10-10 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 44.16%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.24%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%13.2%2026-10-10 19:25
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 38.56%2.28I 43.86%NM 32.13%2.50I 40.00%NM 29.31%36.5%2026-10-10 20:01