The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Leyton Orient v Blackpool

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Leyton Orient 2–0 Blackpool

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leyton Orient (Local)

Prediction 43.83%2.28fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.57%43.95%43.82%46.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.122.142.2051.28%47.18%46.73%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Blackpool (Visit)

Prediction 30.46%3.28fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.787%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.52%30.31%30.55%31.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.073.053.2034.48%32.61%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV +0.499%
Edge +0.128%
Kelly +0.172%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%25.74%25.63%27.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.603.9130.30%28.05%27.78%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leyton Orient (Local): 43.83%; Blackpool (Visit): 30.46%; Draw: 25.70%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.499%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.59%EV -5.32%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -4.65%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.63%EV +0.499%E +0.128%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -10.14%E -4.95%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -2.33%E -0.613%K -0.831%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 13:45
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -5.56%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -3.61%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 13:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -5.56%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -3.61%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 13:30
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -3.61%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.56%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:30
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -14.52%E -7.45%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:50
picklebet_au🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -3.57%E -1.62%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.56%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.56%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 08:00
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.56%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:30
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 13:44
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -2.52%E -0.787%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 13:43
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.83%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:55
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.83%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -8.83%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -5.56%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 13:30
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 13:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 13:35
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.56%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -10.13%E -3.43%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:30
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -5.32%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -5.32%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:00
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -5.32%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -5.32%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 19:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -5.32%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 19:55
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -5.32%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -5.32%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.04%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 20:00
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.22%EV -5.32%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.56%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.45%EV -6.20%E -2.90%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.56%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:30
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 13:55
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 13:48
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -10.14%E -4.95%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -5.56%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -12.33%E -6.17%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -11.66%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-17 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.20%EV -7.51%E -3.56%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-17 08:05
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -5.76%E -2.68%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.61%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -7.95%E -3.79%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -13.89%E -4.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 20:01
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -8.83%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -13.89%E -4.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 20:00
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -8.83%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -13.89%E -4.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -8.83%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -13.89%E -4.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 20:00
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.25%EV -8.83%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -15.18%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-10 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.25%EV -8.83%E -4.24%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -7.09%E -2.32%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%EV -15.18%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-10 20:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.1%2026-10-17 13:45