The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Leicester City v Wigan Athletic

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 19:46 UTC

Final: Leicester City 3–0 Wigan Athletic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leicester City (Local)

Prediction 67.29%1.49fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -10.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.51%67.42%67.29%69.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.381.381.4276.92%72.68%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wigan Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 13.61%7.35fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.276%
Kelly +0.319%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.36%13.49%13.65%14.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.406.866.907.5015.63%14.58%14.49%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.10%5.24fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.05%19.09%19.06%20.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.854.855.0022.22%20.62%20.62%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leicester City (Local): 67.29%; Wigan Athletic (Visit): 13.61%; Draw: 19.10%. For Wigan Athletic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.35. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 11:35
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.48%E -6.24%K -23.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 04:44
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.48%E -6.24%K -23.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-27 04:45
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -7.81%E -5.70%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.48%E -6.24%K -23.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV +2.07%E +0.276%K +0.319%G +0.007%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 11:35
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.54%EV -4.44%E -3.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.25%EV -1.47%E -0.203%K -0.235%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.22%EV -4.70%E -0.942%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.42%EV -12.52%E -9.63%K -41.73%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.53%EV -2.01%E -0.279%K -0.324%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-27 19:20
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -5.12%E -3.63%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 19:30
picklebet_au🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 12:07
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 12:07
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.33%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 11:15
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:15
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:15
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.81%E -5.70%K -21.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-27 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.48%E -6.24%K -23.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.48%E -6.24%K -23.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-27 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -9.15%E -6.78%K -26.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-27 11:35
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.50%E -7.90%K -31.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-27 18:49
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.50%E -7.90%K -31.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-26 22:04
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.48%E -6.24%K -23.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.73%E -0.676%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.15%E -2.64%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 10:05
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.20%EV -6.46%E -4.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.74%EV -7.45%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 11:22
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.20%EV -6.46%E -4.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.74%EV -7.45%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.20%EV -6.46%E -4.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.74%EV -7.45%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -7.45%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 11:20
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.72%EV -7.45%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-27 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.36%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.67%EV -7.45%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -6.42%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-27 11:20
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.09%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -7.45%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -8.33%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-27 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.09%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -7.45%E -1.10%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -8.33%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-27 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -8.14%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.33%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 11:20
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -8.14%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 19:25
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -8.48%E -6.24%K -23.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -8.14%E -1.21%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-27 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -4.51%E -0.902%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 19:40
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-27 19:20
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-27 19:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 19:20
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.79%E -4.14%K -14.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.06%E -3.12%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-27 19:15
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.24%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-27 19:20
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -7.14%E -5.17%K -18.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -10.24%E -2.18%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-27 19:19
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.48%E -6.24%K -23.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.03%EV -9.15%E -6.78%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 19:15
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.03%EV -9.15%E -6.78%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.03%EV -9.15%E -6.78%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.03%EV -9.15%E -6.78%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.03%EV -9.15%E -6.78%K -26.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -11.54%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.29%E -1.95%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 19:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.85%EV -8.48%E -6.24%K -23.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -12.90%E -2.02%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -8.33%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 12:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%0.9%2026-10-27 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%0.9%2026-10-27 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%0.9%2026-10-27 19:40
Matchbook◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%0.9%2026-10-27 19:35
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.18%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.54%1.8%2026-10-27 19:40

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