Language:English
Leicester City v Peterborough United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leicester City (Local)
Prediction 59.12%1.69fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -7.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.68%59.08%58.95%60.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.6166.67%64.35%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Peterborough United (Visit)
Prediction 19.45%5.14fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.274%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.06%19.46%19.59%20.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.844.805.2023.09%20.65%20.83%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.42%4.67fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.404%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.62%21.46%21.46%22.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.304.304.6025.00%23.24%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leicester City (Local): 59.12%; Peterborough United (Visit): 19.45%; Draw: 21.42%. For Peterborough United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.14. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV +1.15%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 09:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV +1.15%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV +1.15%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 09:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV +1.15%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV +1.15%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV +1.15%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV +1.15%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV +1.15%E +0.222%K +0.274%G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 09:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -2.74%E -0.548%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -1.45%E -0.316%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.74%E -0.548%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.60%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.74%E -0.548%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.60%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.74%E -0.548%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.60%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 09:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.74%E -0.548%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -7.88%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 07:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -2.74%E -0.548%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.60%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -9.54%E -6.23%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -2.74%E -0.548%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.60%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.75%EV -6.58%E -4.17%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -4.68%E -0.956%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.60%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 09:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.39%EV -6.58%E -4.17%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -4.68%E -0.956%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.78%EV -13.24%E -3.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 07:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.39%EV -6.58%E -4.17%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -4.68%E -0.956%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.78%EV -13.24%E -3.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 07:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.68%E -0.956%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.68%E -0.956%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.68%E -0.956%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.68%E -0.956%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-04 09:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -4.68%E -0.956%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-04 09:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.11%EV -6.58%E -4.17%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.93%EV -5.66%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -14.31%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.94%EV -6.58%E -4.17%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -6.63%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.88%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 07:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.69%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -6.63%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.69%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -6.63%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.85%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.63%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -10.13%E -6.66%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -6.63%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -7.88%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 14:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -6.63%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -6.58%E -4.17%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -7.60%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.60%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.60%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.60%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -7.77%E -4.98%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.60%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.60%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 07:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -7.60%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -7.60%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 00:12 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -5.40%E -3.38%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 19.74%EV -7.80%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.88%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 07:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%EV -4.81%E -2.99%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.01%EV -8.38%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.46%EV -5.95%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 07:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -8.57%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.85%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -8.57%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -7.88%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 07:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.57%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 07:12 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.57%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -10.52%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -5.74%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 06:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.52%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -14.31%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.52%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -14.31%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.52%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -14.31%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -7.17%E -4.57%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.52%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -14.31%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%EV -8.95%E -5.81%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -10.52%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -11.31%E -7.54%K -22.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -10.52%E -2.29%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-05 09:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.74%EV -5.99%E -3.77%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -12.46%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.74%EV -5.99%E -3.77%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -12.46%E -2.77%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 04:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -8.36%E -5.39%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -15.77%E -3.64%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.02%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-04 07:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.98% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16% | 2.8% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.98% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.86% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16% | 2.8% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.44% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.61% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |