Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leicester City v Peterborough United

2026-10-10 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leicester City (Local)

Prediction 58.36%1.71fair odd
EV -6.04%
Edge -3.75%
Kelly -9.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.21%58.25%58.40%59.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.601.6165.36%63.36%62.70%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Peterborough United (Visit)

Prediction 19.79%5.05fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.211%
Kelly -0.263%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.10%19.81%19.83%20.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.634.605.0023.09%21.60%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.85%4.58fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.476%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.82%21.94%21.78%22.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.234.224.5025.00%23.63%23.67%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Leicester City (Local): 58.36%; Peterborough United (Visit): 19.79%; Draw: 21.85%. For Peterborough United (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -1.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.04%E -3.75%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 19.93%EV -7.19%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.13%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 20:28
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -6.63%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%EV -1.05%E -0.211%K -0.263%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -1.66%E -0.370%K -0.476%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.96%EV -6.63%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.99%E -1.49%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.66%E -0.370%K -0.476%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 18:30
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.82%EV -6.63%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -7.98%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.29%EV -9.31%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-26 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.82%EV -6.63%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -7.98%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.29%EV -9.31%E -2.24%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-26 22:40
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.63%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-26 20:25
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.63%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-26 20:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.63%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-26 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.63%E -4.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.59%E -3.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-26 20:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.52%EV -7.21%E -4.53%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.13%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-26 20:30
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.03%EV -7.21%E -4.53%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -6.03%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-26 18:44
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -8.38%E -5.34%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.66%E -0.370%K -0.476%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 18:28
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.63%EV -8.38%E -5.34%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.85%E -0.875%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-26 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.14%EV -9.54%E -6.16%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -7.13%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-26 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.77%EV -10.13%E -6.58%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-26 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -10.71%E -7.00%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -5.38%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-26 18:29
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.71%E -7.00%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.95%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-26 18:44
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -10.71%E -7.00%K -20.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.31%E -3.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -8.22%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-26 18:27
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.