La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Exeter City v Doncaster Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Exeter City (Local)
Predicción 29.96%3.34momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.340%
Kelly -0.488%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.43%30.01%29.93%32.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.083.3035.71%32.82%32.52%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 42.19%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.854%
Ventaja -0.363%
Kelly -0.632%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.89%42.13%42.25%43.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.202.3550.00%45.00%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.85%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -0.724%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.75%27.87%27.82%29.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.93%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -1.12%E -0.340%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.34%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.33%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.33%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.79%EV -5.07%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -2.81%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.53%E -0.724%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.07%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:14 |
| 1xBet | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.93%EV -6.22%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -5.92%E -2.65%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -6.52%E -2.09%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.19%EV -6.76%E -3.06%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.07%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.53%E -0.724%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.07%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 12:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:09 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 13:09 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.40%E -5.43%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -2.53%E -0.724%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.34%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.34%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetUS | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.03%E -3.68%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.40%E -5.43%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -15.62%E -7.81%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.46%E -5.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -0.854%E -0.363%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -1.70%E -0.729%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -1.70%E -0.729%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -1.70%E -0.729%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -1.70%E -0.729%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -1.70%E -0.729%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -1.70%E -0.729%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -14.61%E -5.12%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -2.12%E -0.914%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -14.61%E -5.12%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -2.12%E -0.914%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -16.10%E -5.75%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -16.10%E -5.75%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04% | 1.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Smarkets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |