مدرسة الاحتمالات

Exeter City v Doncaster Rovers

البداية: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Exeter City (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.96%3.34السعر العادل
EV -1.12%
الأفضلية -0.340%
Kelly -0.488%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.43%30.01%29.93%32.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.053.083.3035.71%32.82%32.52%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Doncaster Rovers (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.19%2.37السعر العادل
EV -0.854%
الأفضلية -0.363%
Kelly -0.632%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.89%42.13%42.25%43.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.222.202.3550.00%45.00%45.45%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.85%3.59السعر العادل
EV -2.53%
الأفضلية -0.724%
Kelly -1.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.75%27.87%27.82%29.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.93%29.85%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -1.12%E -0.340%K -0.488%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.34%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:10
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.33%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.33%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.93%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -2.62%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.79%EV -5.07%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -2.81%E -0.806%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:45
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.53%E -0.724%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 13:00
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.07%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 13:45
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.12%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:14
1xBet3.13I 31.95%NM 29.93%EV -6.22%E -1.99%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.01%EV -5.92%E -2.65%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:44
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -6.52%E -2.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.19%EV -6.76%E -3.06%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -6.99%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:44
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.07%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.53%E -0.724%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.07%E -2.25%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:10
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:00
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:44
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 12:59
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:09
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 13:10
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 13:09
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.12%E -2.30%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.40%E -5.43%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -2.53%E -0.724%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:10
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.34%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.34%E -2.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -8.61%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:44
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:44
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:44
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.29%E -4.32%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:44
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.18%E -3.26%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -8.03%E -3.68%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.50%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:10
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.40%E -5.43%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -10.11%E -3.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -15.62%E -7.81%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.46%E -5.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -0.854%E -0.363%K -0.632%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:15
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -1.70%E -0.729%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -1.70%E -0.729%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -1.70%E -0.729%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -1.70%E -0.729%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -1.70%E -0.729%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -13.71%E -4.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -1.70%E -0.729%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:35
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -14.61%E -5.12%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -2.12%E -0.914%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -14.61%E -5.12%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -2.12%E -0.914%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -16.10%E -5.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:15
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -16.10%E -5.75%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -3.81%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -8.10%E -2.46%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%3.1%2026-04-06 13:45