La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Exeter City v Bolton Wanderers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Exeter City (Local)
Predicción 28.42%3.52momio equitativo
EV +0.878%
Ventaja +0.247%
Kelly +0.344%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.38%28.29%28.44%29.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.333.293.5532.26%30.03%30.40%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bolton Wanderers (Visitante)
Predicción 44.02%2.27momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -2.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.64%44.13%43.98%46.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.082.102.2051.02%48.13%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.56%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.780%
Ventaja -0.217%
Kelly -0.300%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%27.59%27.58%29.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.62%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV +0.878%E +0.247%K +0.344%G +0.003% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -11.07%E -5.48%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV +0.878%E +0.247%K +0.344%G +0.003% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -11.07%E -5.48%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +0.878%E +0.247%K +0.344%G +0.003% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.40%EV -0.259%E -0.074%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.58%EV -7.11%E -3.37%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -1.88%E -0.529%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| BetRivers | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -1.96%E -0.569%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -13.72%E -7.00%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -1.96%E -0.569%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -13.72%E -7.00%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.38%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.38%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 04:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.57%EV -6.79%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.20%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.79%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.43%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 14:04 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| William Hill | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-26 09:59 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -17.32%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| Sky Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.780%E -0.217%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:06 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:14 |
| BetUS | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -9.31%E -4.52%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| TAB | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Everygame | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |