مدرسة الاحتمالات

Exeter City v Bolton Wanderers

البداية: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Exeter City (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.42%3.52السعر العادل
EV +0.878%
الأفضلية +0.247%
Kelly +0.344%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.38%28.29%28.44%29.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.333.293.5532.26%30.03%30.40%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Bolton Wanderers (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.02%2.27السعر العادل
EV -3.15%
الأفضلية -1.43%
Kelly -2.62%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.64%44.13%43.98%46.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.962.082.102.2051.02%48.13%47.62%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.56%3.63السعر العادل
EV -0.780%
الأفضلية -0.217%
Kelly -0.300%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.77%27.59%27.58%29.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.62%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV +0.878%E +0.247%K +0.344%G +0.003%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -11.07%E -5.48%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV +0.878%E +0.247%K +0.344%G +0.003%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -11.07%E -5.48%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:15
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV +0.878%E +0.247%K +0.344%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Pinnacle3.51I 28.49%NM 27.40%EV -0.259%E -0.074%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.58%EV -7.11%E -3.37%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -1.88%E -0.529%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 10:10
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 14:00
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 14:00
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:14
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:14
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:14
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:10
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:10
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:15
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:15
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -0.543%E -0.155%K -0.217%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -1.96%E -0.569%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -13.72%E -7.00%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 14:16
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -1.96%E -0.569%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -13.72%E -7.00%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.38%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.38%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 04:24
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:05
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:00
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:00
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.23%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:00
1xBet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.57%EV -6.79%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.20%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.79%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.43%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:00
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:04
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -4.47%E -2.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:15
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:15
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.67%E -3.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:15
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:05
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:05
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 14:05
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-26 09:59
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:05
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:01
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -17.32%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-28 11:20
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -0.780%E -0.217%K -0.300%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 14:06
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:05
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 14:14
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:00
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:05
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -9.31%E -4.52%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 14:05
TAB3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.43%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -7.55%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 14:05
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 13:59
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.05%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 14:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15