The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Doncaster Rovers v Stockport County FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:45 UTC

Final: Doncaster Rovers 0–2 Stockport County FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Prediction 21.37%4.68fair odd
EV -0.864%
Edge -0.186%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.04%21.35%21.38%22.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.344.344.6425.00%23.04%23.04%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stockport County FC (Visit)

Prediction 55.43%1.80fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -5.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.83%55.44%55.32%57.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.681.7363.69%59.50%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.21%4.31fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.548%
Kelly -0.718%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.37%23.21%23.29%24.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.964.004.2126.67%25.25%25.00%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 21.37%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 55.43%; Draw: 23.21%. For Doncaster Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.64, with an expected value of -0.864%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 20.63%EV -0.864%E -0.186%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.64%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.74%EV -2.31%E -0.548%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-20 18:20
BetUS🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 20.63%EV -0.864%E -0.186%K -0.237%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.64%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.74%EV -2.31%E -0.548%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-20 18:14
Bet Victor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -1.72%E -0.374%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 18:10
betano_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -1.72%E -0.374%K -0.477%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 18:15
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -4.86%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.08%EV -6.88%E -4.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.86%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-20 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 17:15
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.38%EV -7.99%E -4.81%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -4.86%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:40
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -10.20%E -6.30%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-20 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -12.98%E -8.27%K -22.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-20 17:50
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 15:00
Coolbet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.88%E -4.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 15:00
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 18:15
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.10%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 18:15
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-20 18:15
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.99%E -4.81%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 15:05
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -10.20%E -6.30%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 15:00
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -7.06%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:10
Casumo🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -7.06%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -7.06%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -7.06%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -7.06%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:10
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -7.06%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -7.06%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -7.06%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-20 15:02
picklebet_au🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.64%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -2.54%E -0.604%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-20 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 14:59
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 14:58
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.86%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 18:05
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 15:00
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 18:00
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-20 18:05
William Hill🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-20 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-20 18:06
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-20 18:05
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -8.13%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.20%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 15:00
Neds🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -9.20%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -9.20%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.10%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.20%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.18%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-20 15:00
TAB🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -9.20%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.21%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-20 18:15
1xBet🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.21%EV -10.05%E -2.39%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.69%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.09%EV -6.02%E -1.49%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 15:04
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.54%E -0.604%K -0.793%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 13:45
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -6.88%E -4.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.34%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -10.26%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -6.88%E -4.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-20 18:10
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.63%EV -7.99%E -4.81%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -9.50%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-20 15:10
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -6.88%E -4.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 11:40
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -6.88%E -4.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.83%EV -6.88%E -4.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.98%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-20 18:05
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -12.40%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.98%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -12.98%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-20 18:10
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -14.54%E -3.63%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.82%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-20 15:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.96%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%0.2%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-10-20 18:40
Smarkets◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.01%1.1%2026-10-20 18:40