Language:English
Doncaster Rovers v Stevenage
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Doncaster Rovers (Local)
Prediction 31.53%3.17fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.22%31.49%31.54%32.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.932.943.0035.71%34.10%34.01%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stevenage (Visit)
Prediction 39.57%2.53fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%39.55%39.60%40.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.352.4344.44%42.57%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.24%28.95%28.86%31.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.163.203.3235.71%31.61%31.25%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 31.53%; Stevenage (Visit): 39.57%; Draw: 28.89%. For Stevenage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -3.84%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -6.21%E -2.62%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.21%E -2.62%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 14:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.81%E -2.44%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.81%E -2.44%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 11:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 03:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.40%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.80%EV -6.03%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.42%E -2.27%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.55%EV -4.07%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.03%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.81%E -2.44%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -6.03%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.81%E -2.44%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.56%EV -5.81%E -2.44%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -6.21%E -2.62%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.73%EV -5.81%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 13:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -3.84%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -3.84%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.53%EV -3.84%E -1.58%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 14:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-22 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -7.29%E -2.48%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -5.81%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.02%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 07:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.20%EV -6.61%E -2.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.20%EV -6.61%E -2.80%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 13:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.02%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.02%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.02%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.02%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.02%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.02%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.02%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.02%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.02%E -2.09%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 13:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.98%E -3.90%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 09:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -10.96%E -4.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -19.10%E -6.82%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 07:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -10.13%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.70%EV -9.38%E -4.09%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 07:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.13%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.13%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -7.00%E -2.98%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -10.96%E -4.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.80% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.80% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.39% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |