The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Doncaster Rovers v Sheffield Wednesday

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:01 UTC

Final: Doncaster Rovers 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Prediction 36.90%2.71fair odd
EV -0.383%
Edge -0.142%
Kelly -0.226%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.57%36.69%36.92%37.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.552.7041.67%39.07%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sheffield Wednesday (Visit)

Prediction 37.01%2.70fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.442%
Kelly -0.707%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.04%37.22%37.00%39.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.6743.48%40.40%40.00%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.573%
Kelly -0.781%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.17%26.10%26.08%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.553.7530.30%28.40%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 36.90%; Sheffield Wednesday (Visit): 37.01%; Draw: 26.09%. For Doncaster Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.383%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -0.383%E -0.142%K -0.226%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -0.383%E -0.142%K -0.226%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -0.383%E -0.142%K -0.226%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -0.383%E -0.142%K -0.226%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:35
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -0.383%E -0.142%K -0.226%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -0.383%E -0.142%K -0.226%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -0.383%E -0.142%K -0.226%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.69%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -2.97%E -1.13%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.69%EV -13.02%E -5.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 13:35
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -3.34%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 13:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -3.34%E -1.27%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -9.32%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 12:55
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:01
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.32%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 12:55
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.32%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 12:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.32%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -13.02%E -5.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 13:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -13.02%E -5.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 13:35
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -13.02%E -5.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -14.87%E -6.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -13.76%E -5.91%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 13:35
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -4.07%E -1.57%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.59%EV -13.76%E -5.91%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-24 13:35
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.45%EV -5.18%E -2.02%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.04%EV -1.18%E -0.442%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.51%EV -5.28%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:00
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:29
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:25
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -5.92%E -2.32%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:50
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.78%EV -6.66%E -2.63%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.99%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 13:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.78%EV -6.66%E -2.63%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.99%EV -6.58%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 13:00
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.51%EV -4.51%E -1.75%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.51%EV -4.51%E -1.75%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.76%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.45%E -0.933%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:10
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:10
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 13:10
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 13:35
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 13:45
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 13:33
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:50
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.67%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:55
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 13:55
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.32%E -3.81%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.28%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 13:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 13:31
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 13:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 13:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.76%E -3.10%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -13.89%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 13:31
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.67%EV -8.50%E -3.43%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.97%EV -8.95%E -3.64%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 13:10
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -9.61%E -3.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.06%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:10
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -9.61%E -3.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.37%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 13:10
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -11.45%E -4.77%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -11.91%E -5.01%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -2.15%E -0.573%K -0.781%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-24 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54%0.5%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54%0.5%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54%0.5%2026-10-24 13:55
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-10-24 13:55
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.40%1.0%2026-10-24 13:55

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