The School of Odds
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Doncaster Rovers v Oxford United

2026-09-26 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Prediction 45.60%2.19fair odd
EV -6.52%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -6.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%45.60%45.60%46.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.032.0551.28%49.50%49.26%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oxford United (Visit)

Prediction 28.19%3.55fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.75%28.19%28.19%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.303.4032.26%30.25%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.21%3.82fair odd
EV -5.65%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.88%26.21%26.21%26.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.543.553.6029.41%28.27%28.17%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 45.60%; Oxford United (Visit): 28.19%; Draw: 26.21%. For Oxford United (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -4.16%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 14:51
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.52%E -3.18%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 14:51
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -7.43%E -3.66%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 14:51
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -7.43%E -3.66%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.65%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 14:51
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.80%E -4.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 14:51
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.80%E -4.40%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.98%E -2.11%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.27%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 15:05
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.08%E -5.68%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.61%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-19 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-19 15:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-19 15:32
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-19 15:26