L’École des cotes

Doncaster Rovers v Cardiff City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Prévision 29.63%3.38cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.31%29.60%29.71%30.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.143.163.2533.33%31.82%31.70%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cardiff City (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.77%2.23cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -3.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.26%44.77%44.78%46.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.982.072.062.1550.51%48.36%48.54%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.60%3.91cote équitable
EV -0.668%
Avantage -0.172%
Kelly -0.232%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.51%25.63%25.51%27.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.603.603.8832.26%27.78%27.78%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:14
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 22:24
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 22:24
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 22:24
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 08:29
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 11:20
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 11:20
1xBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.46%EV -5.79%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:00
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:00
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -5.79%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:05
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 22:24
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:00
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:05
Pinnacle3.19I 31.35%NM 30.19%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.00%EV -4.18%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -0.668%E -0.172%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 12:40
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.23%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.64%EV -4.18%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV -2.72%E -0.715%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 12:20
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.23%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.64%EV -4.18%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV -2.72%E -0.715%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 12:20
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 10:10
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:00
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:20
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:20
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 22:24
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 22:24
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 11:19
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.72%E -0.715%K -0.970%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:00
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:20
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 11:45
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.68%E -3.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 14:00
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 10:30
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:43
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:44
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:05
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:05
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -8.66%E -4.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 10:10
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 11:45
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 10:30
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 10:31
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 10:30
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 10:30
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 14:05
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -20.64%E -6.66%K -9.83%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-28 10:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%2.7%2026-02-28 14:15