La escuela de los momios

Doncaster Rovers v Cardiff City

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Doncaster Rovers (Local)

Predicción 29.63%3.38momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.31%29.60%29.71%30.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.143.163.2533.33%31.82%31.70%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cardiff City (Visitante)

Predicción 44.77%2.23momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.26%44.77%44.78%46.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.072.062.1550.51%48.36%48.54%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.60%3.91momio equitativo
EV -0.668%
Ventaja -0.172%
Kelly -0.232%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.51%25.63%25.51%27.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.603.603.8832.26%27.78%27.78%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 14:14
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 22:24
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 22:24
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-27 22:24
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 08:29
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -3.72%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 11:20
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 11:20
1xBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.26%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.46%EV -5.79%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:00
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:00
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -5.79%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:05
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-27 22:24
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 22:24
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:00
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.20%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 14:05
Pinnacle3.19I 31.35%NM 30.19%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.00%EV -4.18%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.82%EV -0.668%E -0.172%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 12:40
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.23%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.64%EV -4.18%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV -2.72%E -0.715%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 12:20
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.23%EV -6.38%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.64%EV -4.18%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.14%EV -2.72%E -0.715%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 12:20
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 10:10
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:00
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:20
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 11:20
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 22:24
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -6.68%E -2.12%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 22:24
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 11:19
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.72%E -0.715%K -0.970%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:00
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.28%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:20
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 11:45
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.68%E -3.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 14:00
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 10:30
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:43
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.16%E -2.63%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 11:44
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:05
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:05
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -9.64%E -3.16%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -8.66%E -4.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.12%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 10:10
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.21%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -6.56%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 11:45
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 10:30
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 10:31
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 10:30
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 10:30
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.97%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.40%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 14:05
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.84%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -11.12%E -3.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -10.45%E -5.23%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -20.64%E -6.66%K -9.83%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-28 10:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%2.7%2026-02-28 14:15