Language:English
Doncaster Rovers v Burton Albion
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Doncaster Rovers (Local)
Prediction 55.50%1.80fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -4.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.41%55.57%55.53%56.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.671.7462.50%59.51%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burton Albion (Visit)
Prediction 20.35%4.91fair odd
EV -0.298%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.76%20.44%20.21%21.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.494.504.9023.81%22.28%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.15%4.14fair odd
EV +3.84%
Edge +0.892%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.92%23.99%24.26%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.803.754.3027.78%26.31%26.67%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Doncaster Rovers (Local): 55.50%; Burton Albion (Visit): 20.35%; Draw: 24.15%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.62%EV -11.29%E -2.59%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV +3.84%E +0.892%K +1.16%G +0.045% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 19:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.69%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -12.51%E -2.91%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -0.992%E -0.242%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.35%EV -7.86%E -4.74%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.56%EV -7.42%E -1.63%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.10%EV -2.20%E -0.543%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 16:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.77%EV -8.97%E -5.47%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -2.20%E -0.543%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 16:42 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.41%E -0.852%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 19:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -3.41%E -0.852%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -11.19%E -7.00%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -3.41%E -0.852%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-04 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.63%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -4.37%E -0.929%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -7.86%E -4.74%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -2.33%E -0.486%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 04:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -3.35%E -0.705%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.03%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 19:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.55%EV -7.86%E -4.74%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.03%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 07:12 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.55%EV -7.86%E -4.74%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.03%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -3.35%E -0.705%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 07:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -10.08%E -6.22%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -8.24%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-03 19:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 16:46 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 16:46 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.78%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.76%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.47%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.97%E -5.47%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 04:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -3.35%E -0.705%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 19:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.40%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -10.08%E -6.22%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -8.44%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -10.65%E -2.88%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -0.298%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 17:21 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -0.298%E -0.061%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 17:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -13.52%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -13.52%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -13.52%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -14.54%E -3.46%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -10.08%E -6.22%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.07%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-04 04:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.92% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.92% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.92% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |