Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cambridge United v Wigan Athletic

Início: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Final: Cambridge United 3–2 Wigan Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cambridge United (Local)

Previsão 42.99%2.33odd justa
EV -3.27%
Vantagem -1.45%
Kelly -2.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.93%42.89%43.03%44.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.172.172.2547.62%46.03%46.08%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wigan Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 27.92%3.58odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.329%
Kelly -0.458%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.35%28.05%27.84%30.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.273.303.5433.33%30.59%30.30%28.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.09%3.44odd justa
EV -1.10%
Vantagem -0.322%
Kelly -0.456%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.97%29.06%29.13%29.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.37%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cambridge United (Local): 42.99%; Wigan Athletic (Visitante): 27.92%; Empate: 29.09%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.44. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.40, com valor esperado de -1.10%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:34
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -4.56%E -2.05%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -4.56%E -2.05%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 13:49
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.18%EV -1.16%E -0.329%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.07%EV -3.71%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 13:55
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.18%EV -1.16%E -0.329%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.07%EV -3.71%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 13:44
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.10%E -0.322%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 13:39
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.10%E -0.322%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:44
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.00%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -9.26%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.00%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.26%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:39
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 13:34
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:44
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -16.24%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 13:38
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 13:34
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -6.28%E -2.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 13:34
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.16%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.64%EV -8.70%E -2.66%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -3.42%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:49
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -9.26%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -4.00%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:39
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.27%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -14.84%E -4.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -11.28%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.27%EV -6.71%E -3.09%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -14.84%E -4.87%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -11.28%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.21%EV -7.14%E -3.31%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -5.63%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:49
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:38
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 13:38
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -3.68%E -1.07%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:34
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.00%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:34
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:34
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 13:39
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:35
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -16.24%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-15 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.21%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -16.24%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.73%E -4.24%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -8.86%E -4.18%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.26%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 13:44
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.00%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.28%E -0.652%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.07%E -1.49%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 13:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 13:34
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.86%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 13:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.7%2026-08-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-08-15 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-08-15 13:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72%1.9%2026-08-15 13:55