La escuela de los momios

Cambridge United v Wigan Athletic

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 1

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cambridge United (Local)

Predicción 37.78%2.65momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.05%37.65%37.82%38.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.422.402.5542.02%41.36%41.67%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wigan Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 33.28%3.00momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.03%33.25%33.30%33.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.772.752.9038.17%36.10%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.94%3.46momio equitativo
EV -4.50%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -1.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.19%29.09%28.88%31.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.163.103.3034.48%31.67%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -3.66%E -1.44%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -16.08%E -5.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 16:09
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -4.15%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 16:49
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.55%E -2.22%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.81%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 19:40
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -7.48%E -2.69%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 03:38
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -6.31%E -2.54%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -7.48%E -2.69%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 03:39
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.89%EV -7.06%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -6.81%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 19:39
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.89%EV -7.06%E -2.87%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.17%EV -6.48%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -6.81%E -2.12%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 19:40
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -3.48%E -1.20%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 02:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -4.15%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.81%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 19:39
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.81%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.81%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 19:40
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 14:55
betano_uk2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 14:53
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.44%E -3.04%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 16:35
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -8.57%E -3.54%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 18:35
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -4.48%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-25 19:40
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -6.81%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 19:40
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 14:19
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 14:24
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 08:36
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.81%E -2.43%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-25 19:39
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.14%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-20 19:40
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.33%E -3.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.14%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-22 18:00
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-20 19:40
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:39
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-25 19:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.37%EV -10.08%E -4.24%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -12.80%E -4.89%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-20 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 37.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.68%13.1%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 37.22%1.60I 62.50%NM 41.18%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.60%51.8%2026-07-23 07:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 37.22%1.60I 62.50%NM 41.18%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.60%51.8%2026-07-23 07:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 45.64%1.60I 62.50%NM 35.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 18.70%75.3%2026-07-23 07:20