The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cambridge United v Plymouth Argyle

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:00 UTC

Final: Cambridge United 2–3 Plymouth Argyle

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United (Local)

Prediction 40.09%2.49fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.34%40.29%39.97%43.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.3847.62%43.57%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Plymouth Argyle (Visit)

Prediction 33.41%2.99fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.16%33.25%33.43%34.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.802.802.9137.04%35.67%35.71%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.50%3.77fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.674%
Kelly -0.926%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.73%26.46%26.60%27.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.493.503.6829.41%28.66%28.57%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cambridge United (Local): 40.09%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 33.41%; Draw: 26.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.68, with an expected value of -2.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.58%E -1.92%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.58%E -1.92%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 13:49
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.92%EV -4.98%E -2.10%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.68%EV -4.98%E -2.10%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -8.13%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 13:35
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.78%EV -5.38%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.07%EV -2.78%E -0.957%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.15%EV -2.48%E -0.674%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -5.38%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -5.79%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -5.38%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -5.79%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 13:30
picklebet_au🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:40
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.13%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 13:34
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.57%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.31%EV -9.47%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.12%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 09:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.57%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.31%EV -9.47%E -3.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.12%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.80%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 13:35
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -5.78%E -2.46%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.80%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:35
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:35
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.13%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.13%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 13:40
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.13%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 13:40
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:35
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:35
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.13%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 13:40
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.13%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.80%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 13:40
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.13%E -2.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-24 13:34
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:35
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:35
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 13:35
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -4.79%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -8.59%E -3.77%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.80%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-24 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 13:35
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -4.79%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:35
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -4.79%E -1.68%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.58%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 13:50
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.79%E -4.35%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -10.59%E -4.75%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 13:35
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.80%E -5.36%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:34
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.80%E -5.36%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:35
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.80%E -5.36%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.80%E -5.36%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.80%E -5.36%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -6.46%E -2.31%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.80%E -5.36%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -9.80%E -3.63%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -15.81%E -7.53%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -3.12%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-10-24 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.21%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55

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