The School of Odds
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Burton Albion v Leyton Orient

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:00 UTC

Final: Burton Albion 2–1 Leyton Orient

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burton Albion (Local)

Prediction 34.23%2.92fair odd
EV -0.741%
Edge -0.256%
Kelly -0.390%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.08%34.22%34.27%36.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.682.752.9040.82%37.27%36.43%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leyton Orient (Visit)

Prediction 38.31%2.61fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.575%
Kelly +0.924%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.80%38.22%38.27%39.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.452.6543.48%40.53%40.82%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.46%3.64fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -0.985%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%27.56%27.46%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.353.353.5533.90%29.81%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burton Albion (Local): 34.23%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 38.31%; Draw: 27.46%. For Leyton Orient (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.72%E -4.99%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV +1.52%E +0.575%K +0.924%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:30
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.72%E -4.99%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV +1.52%E +0.575%K +0.924%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.72%E -4.99%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV +1.52%E +0.575%K +0.924%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.72%E -4.99%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV +1.52%E +0.575%K +0.924%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.72%E -4.99%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV +1.52%E +0.575%K +0.924%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:31
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.72%E -4.99%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV +1.52%E +0.575%K +0.924%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.72%E -4.99%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV +1.52%E +0.575%K +0.924%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.72%E -4.99%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV +1.52%E +0.575%K +0.924%G +0.014%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:31
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -16.14%E -6.59%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -0.391%E -0.150%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -12.12%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 13:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -16.14%E -6.59%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -0.391%E -0.150%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -12.12%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 13:31
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -16.14%E -6.59%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -0.391%E -0.150%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -12.12%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -16.14%E -6.59%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -2.31%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.12%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -16.14%E -6.59%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -2.31%E -0.905%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.12%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.92%EV -7.18%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 09:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.92%EV -7.18%E -2.12%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 09:25
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.77%E -0.616%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.31%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -2.51%E -0.707%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 13:45
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 13:35
picklebet_au🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:45
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:45
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -11.01%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.14%E -2.51%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 13:34
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98%EV -6.22%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.15%EV -6.52%E -2.67%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.87%EV -8.28%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98%EV -6.22%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.15%EV -6.52%E -2.67%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.87%EV -8.28%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 13:35
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.29%E -3.01%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:45
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -7.29%E -3.01%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:45
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -2.45%E -0.861%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:50
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.88%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 13:50
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -8.00%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 13:45
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.32%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 13:45
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.59%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.75%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.01%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.05%E -3.36%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.34%EV -9.30%E -3.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.08%EV -8.44%E -3.53%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -8.82%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -8.82%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:50
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.82%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.82%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.82%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 13:55
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.82%E -3.71%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 13:55
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -5.88%E -2.14%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.97%E -4.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.38%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -0.741%E -0.256%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -9.97%E -4.24%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -18.99%E -6.44%K -9.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.32%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.88%E -5.17%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.63%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-10-24 13:50
Smarkets◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.24%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72%1.6%2026-10-24 13:55

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