Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.70
assuming max odds 1.84
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burton Albion (Local): 21.93%; Huddersfield Town (Visit): 53.29%; Draw: 24.78%. For Burton Albion (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.07%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.42%EV +3.07%E +0.654%K +0.831%G +0.026% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.84%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -3.84%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -1.31%E -0.292%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -9.41%E -5.54%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.71%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -3.35%E -0.859%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -8.35%E -4.85%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.89%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -12.02%E -3.39%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -14.50%E -4.20%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -3.51%E -0.797%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -14.50%E -4.20%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.79%EV -4.16%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -5.15%E -2.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.79%EV -4.16%E -0.953%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.49%EV -5.15%E -2.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.08%E -2.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -5.70%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -5.15%E -2.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.70%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.37%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 13:26 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.80%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.35%E -0.859%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -6.80%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.83%EV -7.81%E -4.52%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.25%EV -4.84%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -6.80%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -7.28%E -4.18%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 13:26 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -6.80%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.31%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.17%EV -7.45%E -1.77%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.37%EV -4.84%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.08%E -2.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.35%E -0.859%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.08%E -2.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.41%E -5.54%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.50%EV -8.88%E -5.19%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.01%E -6.59%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -10.09%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.09%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.15%E -2.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 13:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.09%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.15%E -2.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.09%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -4.08%E -2.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.09%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.28%E -4.18%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.09%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.78%EV -7.28%E -4.18%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -10.09%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -7.28%E -4.18%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -9.54%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.09%EV -1.95%E -1.06%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.09%EV -1.95%E -1.06%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -2.48%E -1.36%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -2.48%E -1.36%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -2.48%E -1.36%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -2.48%E -1.36%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -2.48%E -1.36%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -2.48%E -1.36%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.35%E -4.85%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -3.35%E -0.859%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.75%E -3.86%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -13.37%E -3.39%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -4.08%E -2.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 13:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.40%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -15.57%E -4.04%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -5.15%E -2.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -15.57%E -4.04%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -5.15%E -2.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -15.57%E -4.04%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -5.15%E -2.89%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.63%EV -16.66%E -4.39%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.72%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.63%EV -16.66%E -4.39%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.72%EV -5.68%E -3.21%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-03 13:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |