The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Burton Albion v Bradford City

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:45 UTC

Final: Burton Albion 0–0 Bradford City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Burton Albion (Local)

Prediction 21.37%4.68fair odd
EV +1.30%
Edge +0.275%
Kelly +0.349%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.21%21.22%21.41%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.364.354.7424.39%22.92%22.99%21.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bradford City (Visit)

Prediction 52.83%1.89fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -6.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.69%52.93%52.82%55.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.751.751.8061.73%57.02%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.520%
Kelly -0.706%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%25.85%25.78%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.593.603.8029.41%27.83%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Burton Albion (Local): 21.37%; Bradford City (Visit): 52.83%; Draw: 25.80%. For Burton Albion (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.74I 21.10%NM 20.24%EV +1.30%E +0.275%K +0.349%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.86%EV -4.30%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-20 18:35
BetUS🎯4.74I 21.10%NM 20.24%EV +1.30%E +0.275%K +0.349%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.86%EV -4.30%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-20 18:35
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV +0.450%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.95%EV -8.07%E -4.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:18
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.21%EV +0.450%E +0.096%K +0.122%G +0.001%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.72%EV -14.41%E -8.90%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-20 18:25
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.43%EV -6.49%E -3.67%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-20 18:15
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.98%E -0.520%K -0.706%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.54%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:20
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.54%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:20
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.54%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:20
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -7.54%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-20 18:20
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.49%E -3.67%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-20 18:20
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-20 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.82%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-20 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-20 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -6.49%E -3.67%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.28%EV -8.68%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-20 18:16
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 18:20
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -8.07%E -4.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 18:20
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.03%EV -8.07%E -4.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-20 18:21
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.54%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-20 18:20
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.54%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-20 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.54%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-20 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -5.96%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -7.54%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.29%E -3.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-20 18:20
1xBet🎯4.38I 22.83%NM 21.35%EV -6.39%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.24%EV -5.43%E -3.03%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.41%EV -8.68%E -2.45%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-20 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:25
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 17:50
Casumo🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 17:45
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -7.03%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.85%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 17:50
picklebet_au🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -4.56%E -1.23%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-20 18:25
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -7.54%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 18:20
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-20 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.49%E -3.67%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-20 18:20
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 18:20
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -11.01%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 18:20
TAB🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.31%EV -7.54%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 17:55
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -6.49%E -3.67%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 18:30
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -6.49%E -3.67%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 18:20
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.37%EV -7.54%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-20 18:20
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-20 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.75%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -8.07%E -4.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-20 17:50
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -9.66%E -5.65%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.14%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-20 18:20
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-20 17:50
Grosvenor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-20 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-20 17:45
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-20 18:29
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -8.07%E -4.64%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -8.43%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-20 18:25
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -9.13%E -5.31%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -12.37%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -9.13%E -5.31%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.72%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-10-20 18:40
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-10-20 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-10-20 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-10-20 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-10-20 18:20