The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Bradford City v Stevenage

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Bradford City 2–0 Stevenage

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City (Local)

Prediction 49.84%2.01fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.83%50.01%49.82%52.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.871.871.9558.14%53.45%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stevenage (Visit)

Prediction 22.31%4.48fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.329%
Kelly +0.422%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.24%22.16%22.31%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.154.204.5525.97%24.10%23.81%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.86%3.59fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.773%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.79%27.82%27.87%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.323.303.5231.75%30.15%30.30%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bradford City (Local): 49.84%; Stevenage (Visit): 22.31%; Draw: 27.86%. For Stevenage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.48. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.62%EV -7.30%E -3.93%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.10%EV +1.50%E +0.329%K +0.422%G +0.006%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.28%EV -1.95%E -0.554%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 13:40
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.62%EV -7.30%E -3.93%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.10%EV +1.50%E +0.329%K +0.422%G +0.006%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.28%EV -1.95%E -0.554%K -0.773%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -14.28%E -8.30%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV +0.384%E +0.085%K +0.110%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:34
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -7.80%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -1.85%E -0.420%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:34
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -7.80%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -1.85%E -0.420%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:33
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.80%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -1.85%E -0.420%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:35
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.80%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -1.85%E -0.420%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:30
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.89%EV -9.30%E -5.11%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -1.85%E -0.420%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.89%EV -9.30%E -5.11%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -1.85%E -0.420%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.58%EV -6.80%E -3.64%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -4.08%E -0.948%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -3.90%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-17 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.80%E -4.81%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -4.08%E -0.948%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.83%EV -6.80%E -3.64%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.19%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:40
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -10.29%E -5.72%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -5.19%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 13:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.81%E -2.52%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -5.31%E -2.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -5.31%E -2.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:34
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -5.31%E -2.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:40
picklebet_au🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -5.31%E -2.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -5.81%E -3.07%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -5.81%E -3.07%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.80%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:40
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.80%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.80%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -6.31%E -3.35%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.79%EV -6.80%E -3.64%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.04%EV -7.52%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 10:44
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -8.80%E -4.81%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 13:40
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.76%EV -7.80%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.80%E -4.81%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.31%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:40
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.50%EV -5.81%E -3.07%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.33%EV -6.53%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.18%EV -7.52%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 10:50
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.80%E -3.64%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:40
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.17%EV -5.81%E -3.07%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -7.80%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-17 13:40
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -8.80%E -4.81%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.54%E -2.08%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -2.82%E -1.45%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:40
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:40
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -3.32%E -1.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.08%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:40
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.31%E -3.35%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.29%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.35%EV -8.30%E -4.51%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 13:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.80%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.80%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.80%E -4.22%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-17 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -8.80%E -4.81%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.77%E -2.69%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -9.47%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.91%EV -5.31%E -2.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -14.12%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.83%EV -5.81%E -3.07%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -14.12%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-17 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -6.31%E -3.35%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.12%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -6.31%E -3.35%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.12%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -6.31%E -3.35%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.12%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -6.31%E -3.35%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.12%E -3.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.27%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-10-17 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-10-17 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 51.17%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.3%2026-10-17 13:50