Language:English
Bradford City v Leyton Orient
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bradford City (Local)
Prediction 54.03%1.85fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.62%54.07%53.93%55.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.721.8061.73%58.05%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leyton Orient (Visit)
Prediction 20.48%4.88fair odd
EV +0.365%
Edge +0.075%
Kelly +0.094%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.86%20.45%20.47%21.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.494.504.9023.81%22.26%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.620%
Kelly -0.839%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.48%25.59%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.613.603.8328.99%27.69%27.78%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bradford City (Local): 54.03%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 20.48%; Draw: 25.49%. For Leyton Orient (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.365%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.15%E -4.80%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV +0.365%E +0.075%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -12.06%E -3.50%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 09:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.15%E -4.80%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV +0.365%E +0.075%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -12.06%E -3.50%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -8.69%E -5.14%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -1.68%E -0.351%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -2.37%E -0.620%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 09:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -8.15%E -4.80%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -2.71%E -0.570%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -9.77%E -5.85%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -3.73%E -0.794%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -9.77%E -5.85%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -3.73%E -0.794%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -6.53%E -3.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.78%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -7.07%E -4.11%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.78%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 11:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -6.53%E -3.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.78%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.78%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -6.53%E -3.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.78%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 15:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -12.48%E -7.70%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -5.78%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.50%EV -5.45%E -3.12%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.49%EV -6.39%E -1.40%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 15:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.75%E -1.53%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.38%EV -4.91%E -2.79%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.07%E -4.11%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.12%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.12%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.45%E -3.12%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 07:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -8.15%E -4.80%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -3.14%E -0.826%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 14:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 11:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.53%E -3.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.53%E -3.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.53%E -3.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -6.53%E -3.78%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-04 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -9.77%E -5.85%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -4.41%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 09:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.17%EV -10.85%E -6.58%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.83%E -1.74%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.37%E -2.47%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -9.88%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.03%EV -5.99%E -3.44%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -9.88%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 07:12 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.03%EV -5.99%E -3.44%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -9.88%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.15%E -4.80%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.88%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 11:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.15%E -4.80%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.88%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -8.15%E -4.80%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.88%E -2.24%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -3.83%E -2.15%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -10.90%E -2.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -4.37%E -2.47%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -11.31%E -2.61%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.24%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.88%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.28%EV -12.95%E -3.05%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.88%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.28%EV -12.95%E -3.05%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.88%EV -7.61%E -4.45%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.28%EV -12.95%E -3.05%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.03%EV -8.15%E -4.80%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -12.95%E -3.05%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.03%EV -8.15%E -4.80%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.21%EV -12.95%E -3.05%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -7.07%E -4.11%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.97%E -3.33%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -9.51%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -9.77%E -5.85%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -13.97%E -3.33%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-04 11:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 51.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13% | 14.7% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |