L’École des cotes

Bradford City v Bolton Wanderers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bradford City (Local)

Prévision 35.29%2.83cote équitable
EV -0.115%
Avantage -0.041%
Kelly -0.063%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.17%35.17%35.45%37.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.622.602.8341.67%38.17%38.46%35.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bolton Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.97%2.86cote équitable
EV -0.348%
Avantage -0.122%
Kelly -0.188%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.93%34.83%35.17%36.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.642.652.8541.67%37.86%37.74%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.74%3.36cote équitable
EV +1.11%
Avantage +0.328%
Kelly +0.464%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.06%30.00%29.38%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.653.113.153.4037.74%32.19%31.75%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.11%E +0.328%K +0.464%G +0.005%6.3%2026-04-23 14:05
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -1.86%E -0.564%K -0.809%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:33
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -1.86%E -0.564%K -0.809%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -8.39%E -3.20%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -1.86%E -0.564%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 20:24
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -15.29%E -6.37%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.59%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -1.86%E -0.564%K -0.809%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:00
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:04
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -7.53%E -2.87%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:25
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -7.53%E -2.87%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.26%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 20:30
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.76%E -4.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.59%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.76%E -4.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.59%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 19:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.76%E -4.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.59%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 18:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.76%E -4.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.59%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:59
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 21:05
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 21:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 21:05
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:04
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 02:49
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -7.17%E -2.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -12.59%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 20:29
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.76%E -4.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 19:03
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 21:05
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 21:05
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 19:04
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:09
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:04
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:59
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 22:59
1xBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -4.00%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -12.86%E -4.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:25
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -4.00%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -12.86%E -4.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:20
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.76%E -4.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -16.08%E -6.70%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 33.53%EV -0.115%E -0.041%K -0.063%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -0.348%E -0.122%K -0.188%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -14.95%E -5.23%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -1.88%E -0.676%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.17%EV -1.40%E -0.495%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.17%EV -16.14%E -5.72%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:04
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -1.88%E -0.676%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.17%EV -1.40%E -0.495%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.17%EV -16.14%E -5.72%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:05
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -2.10%E -0.749%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -16.73%E -5.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 18:59
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -16.73%E -5.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -1.17%E -0.419%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -1.40%E -0.495%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.90%EV -18.51%E -6.76%K -10.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 00:20
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -1.17%E -0.419%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -1.40%E -0.495%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.90%EV -18.51%E -6.76%K -10.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 00:18
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -21.19%E -8.00%K -12.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-24 03:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%5.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%5.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%5.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 34.19%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.47%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%5.2%2026-04-24 02:40
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.08%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.40%5.7%2026-04-24 02:50