La escuela de los momios

Bradford City v Bolton Wanderers

Inicio: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bradford City (Local)

Predicción 35.29%2.83momio equitativo
EV -0.115%
Ventaja -0.041%
Kelly -0.063%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.17%35.17%35.45%37.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.622.602.8341.67%38.17%38.46%35.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bolton Wanderers (Visitante)

Predicción 34.97%2.86momio equitativo
EV -0.348%
Ventaja -0.122%
Kelly -0.188%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.93%34.83%35.17%36.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.642.652.8541.67%37.86%37.74%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.74%3.36momio equitativo
EV +1.11%
Ventaja +0.328%
Kelly +0.464%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.06%30.00%29.38%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.653.113.153.4037.74%32.19%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.11%E +0.328%K +0.464%G +0.005%6.3%2026-04-23 14:05
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -1.86%E -0.564%K -0.809%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:33
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -1.86%E -0.564%K -0.809%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -8.39%E -3.20%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -1.86%E -0.564%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 20:24
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -15.29%E -6.37%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.59%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -1.86%E -0.564%K -0.809%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:00
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:15
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:04
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -7.53%E -2.87%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 03:15
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:25
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:30
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -7.53%E -2.87%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.26%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 20:30
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.76%E -4.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.59%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.76%E -4.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.59%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 19:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.76%E -4.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.59%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 18:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -11.76%E -4.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -12.59%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -3.35%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:59
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 21:05
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 21:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 21:05
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:04
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 02:49
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.80%EV -7.17%E -2.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%EV -12.59%E -5.03%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 20:29
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.76%E -4.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.83%E -1.51%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 19:03
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.84%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 21:05
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -6.32%E -2.01%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 21:05
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 19:04
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -9.09%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.81%E -2.52%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 21:05
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:09
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.29%E -3.05%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:04
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -10.78%E -3.59%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:59
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.19%EV -12.27%E -4.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 22:59
1xBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -4.00%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -12.86%E -4.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:25
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -4.00%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -3.84%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -12.86%E -4.39%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:20
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -13.76%E -4.74%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -11.76%E -4.71%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -16.08%E -6.70%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -14.35%E -4.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 12:25
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 33.53%EV -0.115%E -0.041%K -0.063%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -0.348%E -0.122%K -0.188%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -14.95%E -5.23%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -1.88%E -0.676%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.17%EV -1.40%E -0.495%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.17%EV -16.14%E -5.72%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:04
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -1.88%E -0.676%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.17%EV -1.40%E -0.495%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.17%EV -16.14%E -5.72%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 02:05
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -2.10%E -0.749%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -16.73%E -5.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 18:59
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.73%EV -5.59%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -16.73%E -5.97%K -9.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -1.17%E -0.419%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -1.40%E -0.495%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.90%EV -18.51%E -6.76%K -10.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 00:20
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -1.17%E -0.419%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -1.40%E -0.495%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.90%EV -18.51%E -6.76%K -10.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 00:18
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -7.34%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -21.19%E -8.00%K -12.84%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-24 03:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%5.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%5.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.79%5.2%2026-04-24 02:55
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 34.19%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.47%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%5.2%2026-04-24 02:40
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.53%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.08%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.40%5.7%2026-04-24 02:50