Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City v Barnsley

2026-09-26 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

53%

22%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City (Local)

Prediction 52.52%1.90fair odd

EV -6.51%

Edge -3.66%

Kelly -8.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.38%52.52%52.52%52.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.721.761.781.7858.14%56.84%56.18%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Barnsley (Visit)

Prediction 22.03%4.54fair odd

EV -5.26%

Edge -1.22%

Kelly -1.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.92%22.03%22.03%22.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.104.224.304.3024.39%23.68%23.26%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.45%3.93fair odd

EV -4.58%

Edge -1.22%

Kelly -1.66%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.13%25.45%25.45%25.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.553.673.753.7528.17%27.23%26.67%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bradford City (Local): 52.52%; Barnsley (Visit): 22.03%; Draw: 25.45%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -4.58%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -6.51%E -3.66%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-19 14:02
Casumo🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -6.51%E -3.66%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-19 14:06
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -6.51%E -3.66%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-19 14:06
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -6.51%E -3.66%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-19 14:06
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -6.51%E -3.66%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-19 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -6.51%E -3.66%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-19 14:06
betPARX🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -6.51%E -3.66%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-19 14:06
ATG (SE)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -6.51%E -3.66%K -8.35%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -5.26%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-19 14:05
Grosvenor🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -9.66%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-09-19 14:06
Virgin Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -9.66%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-09-19 14:05
TABtouch🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -9.14%E -5.28%K -12.52%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -9.66%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-09-19 14:05
BetRivers🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.66%E -5.62%K -13.42%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.66%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-09-19 14:02
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.66%E -5.62%K -13.42%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.66%E -2.36%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-09-19 14:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.