Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Bolton Wanderers v Blackpool

Начало: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Bolton Wanderers (Хозяева)

Прогноз 61.78%1.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.24%
Преимущество -2.73%
Kelly -7.70%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.55

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
59.74%61.75%61.69%63.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.35%66.23%64.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Blackpool (Гости)

Прогноз 16.15%6.19справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.932%
Преимущество +0.149%
Kelly +0.178%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.90%16.12%16.30%17.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.255.705.606.2519.05%17.55%17.86%16.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 22.07%4.53справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.691%
Преимущество -0.153%
Kelly -0.197%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.23%22.13%22.01%24.07%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.154.204.5027.78%24.07%23.81%22.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Bolton Wanderers (Хозяева): 61.78%; Blackpool (Гости): 16.15%; Ничья: 22.07%. Для исхода «Blackpool (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.19. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.25, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.932%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -8.56%E -5.79%K -17.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV +0.932%E +0.149%K +0.178%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 09:24
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.56%E -5.79%K -17.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV +0.932%E +0.149%K +0.178%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 09:23
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.56%E -5.79%K -17.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV +0.932%E +0.149%K +0.178%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 09:24
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.40%EV +0.448%E +0.072%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.01%EV -4.00%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -0.683%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -4.24%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -4.24%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 09:25
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -9.18%E -6.25%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -9.18%E -6.25%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.36%EV -9.18%E -6.25%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 09:25
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -10.42%E -7.18%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 09:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 08:49
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -4.86%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -4.86%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-20 05:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -4.86%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-20 05:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 09:24
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:35
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:40
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:44
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.90%E -0.659%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.90%E -0.659%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 02:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 02:50
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 00:25
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:35
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 02:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 02:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 02:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 02:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -0.691%E -0.153%K -0.197%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -20.55%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-21 14:35
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -12.79%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -12.79%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -12.79%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 02:50
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -12.79%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 02:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -12.79%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 09:25
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:34
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.71%2.4%2026-02-21 14:55