Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bolton Wanderers v Blackpool

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Bolton Wanderers (Local)

Prévision 61.78%1.62cote équitable
EV -4.24%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -7.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%61.75%61.69%63.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.511.5569.44%66.35%66.23%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Blackpool (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.15%6.19cote équitable
EV +0.932%
Avantage +0.149%
Kelly +0.178%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.90%16.12%16.30%17.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.255.705.606.2519.05%17.55%17.86%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.07%4.53cote équitable
EV -0.691%
Avantage -0.153%
Kelly -0.197%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.23%22.13%22.01%24.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.154.204.5027.78%24.07%23.81%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Bolton Wanderers (Local) : 61.78% ; Blackpool (Visiteur) : 16.15% ; Match nul : 22.07%. Pour Blackpool (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.19. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.25, soit une espérance positive de +0.932%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -8.56%E -5.79%K -17.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV +0.932%E +0.149%K +0.178%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 09:24
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.56%E -5.79%K -17.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV +0.932%E +0.149%K +0.178%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 09:23
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.56%E -5.79%K -17.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV +0.932%E +0.149%K +0.178%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 09:24
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.40%EV +0.448%E +0.072%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.01%EV -4.00%E -0.920%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -0.683%E -0.111%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -4.24%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -4.24%E -2.73%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 09:25
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -9.18%E -6.25%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -9.18%E -6.25%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.36%EV -9.18%E -6.25%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 09:25
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -10.42%E -7.18%K -23.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 09:40
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:45
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -5.10%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 08:49
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -4.86%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -4.86%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-20 05:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -4.86%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-20 05:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 09:24
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:35
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.14%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:40
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:35
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-20 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.05%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:44
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -9.56%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.90%E -0.659%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 02:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -2.90%E -0.659%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 02:50
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -4.44%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 02:50
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-20 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 00:25
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:35
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 02:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 02:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 02:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.33%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 02:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -0.691%E -0.153%K -0.197%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.85%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -20.55%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-21 14:35
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -12.79%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -12.79%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -12.79%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 02:50
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -12.79%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -6.21%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 02:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -12.79%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 09:25
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.90%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-02-21 14:35
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.71%2.4%2026-02-21 14:55