The School of Odds
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Blackpool v Wigan Athletic

2026-11-21 12:30 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Blackpool (Local)

Prediction 46.54%2.15fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.34%46.45%46.86%48.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.962.1052.36%50.60%50.89%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wigan Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 27.46%3.64fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.551%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.40%27.61%27.08%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.353.5932.26%29.82%29.85%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.00%3.85fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.84%25.94%26.06%26.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.543.503.7229.41%28.23%28.57%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Blackpool (Local): 46.54%; Wigan Athletic (Visit): 27.46%; Draw: 26.00%. For Wigan Athletic (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.59, with an expected value of -1.43%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.26%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-15 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -2.26%E -1.08%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-14 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.59%E -2.24%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-15 00:35
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -4.59%E -2.24%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-15 00:35
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -4.59%E -2.24%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-15 00:35
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.59%E -2.24%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-14 17:40
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -4.59%E -2.24%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-14 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -4.59%E -2.24%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-14 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-14 20:59
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.92%E -3.46%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-15 00:11
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -7.85%E -3.96%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.90%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-14 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -7.85%E -3.96%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-14 21:05
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.12%EV -8.31%E -4.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.40%EV -1.43%E -0.397%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.48%EV -3.28%E -0.882%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-14 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -8.31%E -4.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.90%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -8.31%E -4.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.90%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -8.31%E -4.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.90%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 14:55
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -8.31%E -4.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.90%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.56%EV -8.31%E -4.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.90%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.10%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 14:55
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -8.78%E -4.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.18%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.13%EV -3.28%E -0.882%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-14 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-14 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.39%E -2.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 21:00
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-14 16:20
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-14 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-14 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-14 16:20
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.24%E -4.74%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.14%E -3.79%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-15 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -9.71%E -5.00%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.04%EV -5.55%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.01%EV -3.28%E -0.882%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-14 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -9.71%E -5.00%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.02%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-14 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -10.17%E -5.27%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -8.02%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 14:54
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -10.17%E -5.27%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -8.02%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.00%EV -10.17%E -5.27%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -8.02%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -10.17%E -5.27%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-14 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -10.64%E -5.54%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -8.02%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-14 14:55
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -10.64%E -5.54%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -8.02%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -10.30%E -2.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-14 14:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -11.10%E -5.81%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-14 15:30
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.10%E -5.81%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-14 21:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 43.88%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.25%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.87%16.3%2026-11-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-11-14 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-11-14 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-11-14 15:45

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