L’École des cotes

Blackpool v Peterborough United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Score final : Blackpool 3–1 Peterborough United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Blackpool (Local)

Prévision 49.86%2.01cote équitable
EV -4.76%
Avantage -2.49%
Kelly -5.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.65%49.83%49.89%51.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.851.851.9156.18%54.09%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Peterborough United (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.59%3.91cote équitable
EV +0.564%
Avantage +0.144%
Kelly +0.193%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.27%25.59%25.63%26.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.663.603.9330.30%27.29%27.78%25.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.55%4.07cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -0.770%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.70%24.58%24.48%26.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.753.803.9528.57%26.66%26.32%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.35%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.47%EV +0.564%E +0.144%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.18%EV -6.23%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 13:35
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -1.48%E -0.385%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:35
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -1.48%E -0.385%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:35
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -1.48%E -0.385%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:34
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:34
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 13:34
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -11.24%E -6.32%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:35
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -11.24%E -6.32%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:34
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.90%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.91%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:34
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -4.27%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:34
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.27%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 12:10
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 12:10
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:45
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:35
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:39
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:19
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:39
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:40
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:35
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.25%E -3.90%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.86%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:50
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.25%E -3.90%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.86%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:49
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.09%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:08
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:39
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.46%EV -9.42%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.04%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.27%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 10:23
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -7.25%E -3.90%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 10:25
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.56%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 10:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-11 13:45
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-11 13:45
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-04-11 13:50