La escuela de los momios

Blackpool v Peterborough United

Inicio: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Blackpool 3–1 Peterborough United

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Blackpool (Local)

Predicción 49.86%2.01momio equitativo
EV -4.76%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -5.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.65%49.83%49.89%51.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.851.851.9156.18%54.09%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Peterborough United (Visitante)

Predicción 25.59%3.91momio equitativo
EV +0.564%
Ventaja +0.144%
Kelly +0.193%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.27%25.59%25.63%26.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.663.603.9330.30%27.29%27.78%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.55%4.07momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -0.770%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.70%24.58%24.48%26.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.753.803.9528.57%26.66%26.32%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.35%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.47%EV +0.564%E +0.144%K +0.193%G +0.001%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.18%EV -6.23%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 13:35
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -1.48%E -0.385%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:35
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -1.48%E -0.385%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:35
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -1.48%E -0.385%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:34
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:34
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:34
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -9.75%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:35
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -2.76%E -0.727%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 13:34
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -11.24%E -6.32%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:35
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -11.24%E -6.32%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -4.04%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:34
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.90%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.91%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.19%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:34
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -4.27%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:34
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.27%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 12:10
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 12:10
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:45
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:45
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -5.32%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:35
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -6.60%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:39
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:20
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:19
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.50%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:39
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:40
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:40
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:35
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.63%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.25%E -3.90%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.86%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:50
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -7.25%E -3.90%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -12.86%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 13:49
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.88%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -14.09%E -4.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 13:34
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.21%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -9.18%E -2.48%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:08
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 13:40
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.16%E -2.58%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.72%E -1.77%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:39
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.83%EV -6.25%E -3.33%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.46%EV -9.42%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.04%E -0.770%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.27%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 10:23
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.44%E -2.98%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:34
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -7.25%E -3.90%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.00%E -3.82%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 10:25
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -15.56%E -4.71%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -7.95%E -2.12%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 10:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-11 13:45
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-11 13:45
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-04-11 13:50