The School of Odds
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Blackpool v Milton Keynes Dons

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 18:45 UTC

Final: Blackpool 2–0 Milton Keynes Dons

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Blackpool (Local)

Prediction 41.53%2.41fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.23%41.60%41.56%43.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.222.252.3448.08%44.95%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)

Prediction 32.69%3.06fair odd
EV -0.294%
Edge -0.097%
Kelly -0.144%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.66%32.63%32.67%34.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.862.853.0538.17%34.92%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.78%3.88fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.818%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.77%25.76%25.77%26.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.603.7629.41%27.95%27.78%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Blackpool (Local): 41.53%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 32.69%; Draw: 25.78%. For Milton Keynes Dons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -0.294%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.23%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:20
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.32%EV -3.23%E -1.39%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.08%EV -4.87%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.60%EV -3.07%E -0.818%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-20 18:20
BetUS🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.32%EV -3.23%E -1.39%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.08%EV -4.87%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.60%EV -3.07%E -0.818%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-20 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 18:15
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 18:30
picklebet_au🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 18:30
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.10%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.10%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-20 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-20 18:24
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-20 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -4.48%E -1.95%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-20 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -5.31%E -2.33%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 18:30
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.34%EV -6.14%E -2.72%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.56%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.10%EV -7.71%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 18:20
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.85%E -2.03%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:20
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.85%E -2.03%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 18:20
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-20 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-20 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-20 18:30
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-20 18:30
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-20 18:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-20 18:15
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-20 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-20 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-20 18:20
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.55%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.35%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-20 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -6.97%E -3.11%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.51%EV -6.51%E -2.27%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.97%EV -7.71%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-20 18:16
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.59%EV -6.97%E -3.11%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -10.10%E -3.67%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-20 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-20 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-20 18:20
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-20 18:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-20 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-20 18:20
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.63%E -3.92%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -14.35%E -5.48%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-20 18:25
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -10.29%E -4.76%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -0.294%E -0.097%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:05
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -10.29%E -4.76%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -0.294%E -0.097%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -10.29%E -4.76%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -0.294%E -0.097%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -10.29%E -4.76%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -0.294%E -0.097%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -10.29%E -4.76%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -0.294%E -0.097%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:05
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -10.29%E -4.76%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -0.294%E -0.097%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -10.29%E -4.76%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -0.294%E -0.097%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 18:05
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -3.33%E -0.888%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-20 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.71%E -4.98%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.47%E -3.02%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-20 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -12.78%E -6.09%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -3.56%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-20 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.10%EV -12.78%E -6.09%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.76%EV -6.83%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-20 18:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -13.61%E -6.55%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -3.56%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-20 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -13.61%E -6.55%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -3.56%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-20 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -13.61%E -6.55%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -3.56%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-20 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.26%EV -13.61%E -6.55%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.26%EV -13.61%E -6.55%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -5.20%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 18:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-10-20 18:25
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-10-20 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-10-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%0.7%2026-10-20 18:30