The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Blackpool v Mansfield Town

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:01 UTC

Final: Blackpool 1–4 Mansfield Town

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Blackpool (Local)

Prediction 35.47%2.82fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.898%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%35.42%35.48%37.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.622.7541.67%38.22%38.17%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mansfield Town (Visit)

Prediction 37.89%2.64fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.83%37.95%37.83%39.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.442.452.5742.55%40.90%40.82%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.64%3.75fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.531%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.92%26.62%26.69%29.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.503.7032.26%28.68%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Blackpool (Local): 35.47%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 37.89%; Draw: 26.64%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.43%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 13:01
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.68%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.49%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.83%EV -4.36%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 13:45
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.68%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.49%EV -2.61%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.83%EV -4.36%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -1.43%E -0.387%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 13:01
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 12:55
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 13:01
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.41%EV -5.66%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.41%EV -5.66%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:35
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 13:31
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-22 19:35
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:45
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 10:46
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -17.42%E -5.62%K -8.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 13:40
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.26%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.23%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.26%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.30%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.23%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-20 20:20
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.40%EV -6.73%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.00%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.84%EV -6.73%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-24 13:50
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 13:54
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:35
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 13:31
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -9.81%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 19:34
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.02%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.02%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.02%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:20
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.02%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.02%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.02%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:20
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -6.02%E -2.43%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:20
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.76%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 13:45
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 13:39
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-22 19:35
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 13:45
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 13:39
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 13:45
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 13:31
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 13:31
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -9.56%E -3.75%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -7.92%E -3.26%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 13:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.56%E -3.75%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.58%EV -8.30%E -3.43%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 13:45
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -11.34%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:20
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -11.34%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -11.34%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -8.09%E -2.35%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.34%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 13:20
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.34%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.05%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-24 13:20
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -14.88%E -6.20%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.81%E -4.12%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-24 13:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-10-24 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-10-24 13:45
Matchbook◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.89%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.87%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.96%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-10-24 13:50