Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.49
assuming max odds 2.95
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Blackpool (Local): 38.85%; Burton Albion (Visit): 33.08%; Draw: 28.07%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.06%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV +1.06%E +0.295%K +0.409%G +0.004% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 02:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.74%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 15:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 13:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 13:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 21:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-26 13:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 13:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 13:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.69%EV -3.26%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.88%EV -3.09%E -1.05%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.42%EV -4.83%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.16%EV -7.92%E -3.34%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.38%EV -8.05%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.46%EV -5.11%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-27 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.16%EV -7.92%E -3.34%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.38%EV -8.05%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.46%EV -5.11%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-27 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.81%E -1.96%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -5.73%E -2.01%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.34%EV -9.86%E -4.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -2.43%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-25 21:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.34%EV -9.86%E -4.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -2.43%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-25 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.34%EV -9.86%E -4.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.72%EV -2.43%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-25 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 21:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 21:06 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.823%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 21:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.37%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.08%E -1.41%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 21:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 21:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-26 13:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.37%EV -5.20%E -2.13%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.08%EV -6.40%E -2.26%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -7.92%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -5.98%E -2.47%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.06%EV -6.73%E -2.39%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -7.92%E -2.41%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -5.98%E -2.47%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.73%E -2.39%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -5.98%E -2.47%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.73%E -2.39%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -12.58%E -5.59%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -4.74%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-25 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -12.58%E -5.59%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -4.74%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-25 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-27 09:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 19:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.04%E -3.29%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-26 02:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-27 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.97%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-26 02:51 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.97%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-26 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -7.39%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.97%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-26 02:51 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -12.97%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-27 19:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -10.70%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -19.15%E -6.65%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-26 13:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.49% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-03-28 03:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.43% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |