The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Barnsley v Oxford United

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Barnsley 1–1 Oxford United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnsley (Local)

Prediction 36.47%2.74fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.569%
Kelly -0.903%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.11%36.36%36.49%38.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.552.7040.82%39.05%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oxford United (Visit)

Prediction 38.50%2.60fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.37%38.73%38.46%41.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.392.402.5346.51%41.81%41.67%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.03%3.99fair odd
EV +5.14%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.083%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.40%24.91%25.05%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.703.704.2028.17%27.05%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnsley (Local): 36.47%; Oxford United (Visit): 38.50%; Draw: 25.03%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV +5.14%E +1.22%K +1.61%G +0.083%6.3%2026-10-31 14:38
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -10.65%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.20%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV +5.14%E +1.22%K +1.61%G +0.083%6.3%2026-10-31 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.14%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.17%EV -2.60%E -1.03%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.70%EV -2.12%E -0.541%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 14:40
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:40
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -4.87%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 14:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 14:45
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:15
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:15
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -1.54%E -0.569%K -0.903%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:15
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.01%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -8.10%E -3.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -8.10%E -3.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:40
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.38%E -3.52%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.12%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 14:40
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.60%EV -7.37%E -2.90%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.41%EV -6.84%E -2.82%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.99%EV -6.87%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.60%EV -7.37%E -2.90%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.41%EV -6.84%E -2.82%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.99%EV -6.87%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 14:45
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -3.76%E -1.50%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 14:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 14:40
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.37%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 14:40
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.62%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 14:40
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.48%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.62%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 14:40
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%EV -9.53%E -4.06%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.62%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 14:40
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 14:40
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.15%EV -6.84%E -2.82%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 14:40
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.15%EV -6.84%E -2.82%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 14:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -5.68%E -2.32%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 14:45
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 14:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 14:44
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 14:45
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.61%E -3.17%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 14:39
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -12.23%E -5.36%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 12:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -12.23%E -5.36%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 11:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -12.23%E -5.36%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 14:15
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -12.23%E -5.36%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -13.38%E -5.95%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 14:40
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -5.18%E -1.99%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -17.23%E -8.01%K -14.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.88%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-31 12:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -8.38%E -3.52%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.13%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 14:40
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.43%EV -12.23%E -5.36%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -11.13%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.43%EV -12.23%E -5.36%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -11.13%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-10-31 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.87%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-10-31 14:45
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 36.98%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.7%2026-10-31 14:45

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