Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.90
assuming max odds 2.40
assuming max odds 3.82
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnsley (Local): 33.84%; Cambridge United (Visit): 40.33%; Draw: 25.83%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.82, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -1.88%E -0.647%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -15.30%E -7.29%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -2.55%E -0.887%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 13:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -2.55%E -0.887%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 13:43 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.52%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.29%EV -6.03%E -2.59%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.19%EV -1.32%E -0.344%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.52%EV -2.89%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.29%EV -6.03%E -2.59%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.19%EV -1.32%E -0.344%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-17 13:38 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -6.43%E -2.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.58%EV -6.43%E -2.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.71%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -6.28%E -2.27%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.45%EV -6.84%E -2.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.81%EV -6.48%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.70%EV -6.61%E -2.40%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.61%EV -7.64%E -3.34%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.69%EV -6.48%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -4.01%E -1.69%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.12%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -4.42%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -3.21%E -1.34%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.12%E -0.833%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.83%E -0.482%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 13:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -6.95%E -2.53%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.26%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-17 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.01%E -1.69%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -4.42%E -1.86%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 13:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.22%E -2.22%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 13:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.76%EV -8.64%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.81%EV -7.64%E -3.34%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 13:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.00%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.42%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.14%EV -6.03%E -2.59%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.87%E -3.15%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -11.01%E -4.19%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.99%EV -6.43%E -2.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -11.01%E -4.19%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.99%EV -6.43%E -2.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -11.01%E -4.19%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.99%EV -6.43%E -2.77%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -11.01%E -4.19%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -11.01%E -4.19%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -7.24%E -3.15%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.17%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-17 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.27%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -9.58%E -2.74%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-17 13:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-10-17 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-10-17 13:55 |