Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnsley v Blackpool

Início: 2026-09-02 18:45 UTC

Final: Barnsley 2–1 Blackpool

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnsley (Local)

Previsão 41.58%2.40odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -0.610%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.46%41.66%41.45%42.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.122.222.202.3747.17%44.96%45.45%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Blackpool (Visitante)

Previsão 32.74%3.05odd justa
EV +1.49%
Vantagem +0.481%
Kelly +0.710%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.08%32.66%32.72%34.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.872.853.1038.17%34.79%35.09%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.68%3.89odd justa
EV -0.886%
Vantagem -0.230%
Kelly -0.310%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.48%25.68%25.82%27.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.563.603.8630.30%28.09%27.78%25.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Barnsley (Local): 41.58%; Blackpool (Visitante): 32.74%; Empate: 25.68%. Para Blackpool (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.05. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.49%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.42%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -3.42%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.71%E -0.990%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 18:30
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.71%E -0.990%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -10.59%E -4.93%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -0.990%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.19%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.19%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.59%E -4.93%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:30
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.99%EV -9.76%E -4.50%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -2.69%E -1.15%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.90%EV -7.02%E -2.47%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.95%EV -0.886%E -0.230%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.71%E -0.990%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 18:39
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:38
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:34
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -5.19%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.05%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:39
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.43%E -0.639%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:40
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 18:40
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 18:34
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -2.43%E -0.639%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:40
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:38
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.46%EV -1.45%E -0.610%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.77%EV -11.93%E -4.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -6.79%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -10.59%E -4.93%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -14.22%E -5.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-02 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 41.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.35%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.65%-0.0%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.11%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-09-02 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.11%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-09-02 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.11%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-09-02 18:35
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.64%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40