Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnsley v Blackpool

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 18:45 UTC

Score final : Barnsley 2–1 Blackpool

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnsley (Local)

Prévision 41.58%2.40cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.610%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.46%41.66%41.45%42.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.122.222.202.3747.17%44.96%45.45%42.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Blackpool (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.74%3.05cote équitable
EV +1.49%
Avantage +0.481%
Kelly +0.710%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.08%32.66%32.72%34.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.872.853.1038.17%34.79%35.09%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.68%3.89cote équitable
EV -0.886%
Avantage -0.230%
Kelly -0.310%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.48%25.68%25.82%27.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.603.8630.30%28.09%27.78%25.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Barnsley (Local) : 41.58% ; Blackpool (Visiteur) : 32.74% ; Match nul : 25.68%. Pour Blackpool (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.05. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.10, soit une espérance positive de +1.49%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +1.49%E +0.481%K +0.710%G +0.011%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -11.84%E -5.59%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -1.78%E -0.594%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -15.27%E -4.63%K -6.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-02 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.42%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -3.42%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.71%E -0.990%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 18:30
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -3.71%E -0.990%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -10.59%E -4.93%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.06%E -1.74%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -3.71%E -0.990%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.19%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.19%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -5.71%E -1.98%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-02 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.41%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.59%E -4.93%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:30
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.99%EV -9.76%E -4.50%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -6.69%E -2.35%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 18:35
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -2.69%E -1.15%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.90%EV -7.02%E -2.47%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.95%EV -0.886%E -0.230%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.71%E -0.990%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 18:39
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:38
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:34
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -5.19%E -2.28%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -7.05%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:39
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.43%E -0.639%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 18:35
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -8.85%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:40
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 18:40
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.52%E -3.87%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.33%E -2.98%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-02 18:34
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -2.43%E -0.639%K -0.867%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:40
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 18:40
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-02 18:38
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -6.44%E -2.86%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.97%E -3.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:40
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.46%EV -1.45%E -0.610%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.77%EV -11.93%E -4.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -6.79%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -10.59%E -4.93%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -14.22%E -5.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-02 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 41.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.35%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.65%-0.0%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.11%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-09-02 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.11%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-09-02 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.11%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-09-02 18:35
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.64%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-02 18:40