The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Stockport County FC v Tranmere Rovers

2026-11-10 19:00 UTC — EFL Trophy

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stockport County FC (Local)

Prediction 69.64%1.44fair odd
EV -5.29%
Edge -3.89%
Kelly -14.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.95%69.61%69.68%72.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.321.3680.00%76.46%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tranmere Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 12.87%7.77fair odd
EV +2.98%
Edge +0.373%
Kelly +0.426%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.30%12.88%12.94%14.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.406.876.508.0015.63%14.56%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.49%5.72fair odd
EV +0.540%
Edge +0.094%
Kelly +0.114%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.19%17.51%17.37%19.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.235.405.7521.74%19.12%18.52%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Stockport County FC (Local): 69.64%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 12.87%; Draw: 17.49%. For Tranmere Rovers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.77. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.00, producing a positive expected value of +2.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -10.16%E -7.88%K -35.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +2.98%E +0.373%K +0.426%G +0.013%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV +0.540%E +0.094%K +0.114%G +0.001%7.4%2026-11-10 15:24
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -10.86%E -8.48%K -38.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV +2.98%E +0.373%K +0.426%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-10 14:44
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.47%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.17%EV -0.878%E -0.114%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.36%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-10 15:49
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.40%EV -8.77%E -6.69%K -28.29%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.04%EV -2.81%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -14.32%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-10 16:05
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -8.77%E -6.69%K -28.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.45%E -0.460%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-10 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -12.95%E -10.36%K -51.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -3.45%E -0.460%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-10 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.28%EV -9.47%E -7.28%K -31.55%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.34%EV -6.03%E -0.826%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -14.32%E -2.92%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-10 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.42%EV -9.47%E -7.28%K -31.55%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.63%EV -6.67%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 16:04
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.65%EV -5.29%E -3.89%K -14.69%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 12.93%EV -7.06%E -0.977%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.42%EV -11.35%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-10 15:25
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -9.89%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-10 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -9.89%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-10 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -6.68%E -4.99%K -19.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -9.89%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-10 15:54
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.97%EV -12.25%E -9.72%K -47.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -9.89%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-10 16:10
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -12.95%E -10.36%K -51.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -9.89%E -1.41%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-10 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.50%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.69%EV -13.11%E -1.94%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%EV -8.07%E -6.12%K -25.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:05
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%EV -8.07%E -6.12%K -25.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%EV -8.07%E -6.12%K -25.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%EV -8.07%E -6.12%K -25.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%EV -8.07%E -6.12%K -25.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%EV -8.07%E -6.12%K -25.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%EV -8.07%E -6.12%K -25.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:15
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -5.98%E -4.43%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.57%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-10 15:39
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.62%EV -9.47%E -7.28%K -31.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -3.83%E -0.697%K -0.851%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.57%EV -10.16%E -7.88%K -35.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-10 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.57%EV -10.16%E -7.88%K -35.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.62%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-10 15:14
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -19.57%E -4.25%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-10 15:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -19.57%E -4.25%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-10 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -19.57%E -4.25%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-10 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -7.38%E -5.55%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -19.57%E -4.25%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-10 15:24
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.47%E -7.28%K -31.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.07%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-10 15:25
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.91%EV -12.95%E -10.36%K -51.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.44%EV -16.33%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.65%EV -8.20%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-10 14:58
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.09%EV -12.95%E -10.36%K -51.79%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.69%EV -17.61%E -2.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.22%EV -5.58%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-10 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.26%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%2.4%2026-11-10 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.26%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.91%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%2.4%2026-11-10 16:10
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 71.40%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.14%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.46%3.0%2026-11-10 16:10