The School of Odds
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Mansfield Town v Chesterfield FC

2026-11-10 19:00 UTC — EFL Trophy

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prediction 51.82%1.93fair odd
EV -0.509%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.553%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.87%51.78%51.80%54.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.801.801.9260.61%55.41%55.56%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chesterfield FC (Visit)

Prediction 26.11%3.83fair odd
EV -0.785%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.280%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.75%26.05%26.10%27.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.433.353.8030.77%29.17%29.85%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.07%4.53fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.22%22.17%22.10%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.873.904.3328.17%25.86%25.64%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mansfield Town (Local): 51.82%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 26.11%; Draw: 22.07%. For Mansfield Town (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.92, with an expected value of -0.509%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -0.509%E -0.265%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -18.33%E -4.95%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.87%EV -2.06%E -1.09%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -20.54%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:05
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -20.54%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -20.54%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-10 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -20.54%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-10 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -20.54%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-10 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -20.54%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-10 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -2.58%E -1.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -20.54%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-10 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -3.10%E -1.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -20.54%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-10 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -3.10%E -1.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -20.54%E -5.71%K -7.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-10 15:14
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.04%EV -4.14%E -2.24%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.03%EV -21.64%E -6.10%K -8.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-10 15:39
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.17%E -2.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -9.50%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-10 15:49
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.26%EV -6.21%E -3.43%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.00%EV -12.01%E -3.56%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-10 16:05
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-10 14:59
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-10 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-10 15:25
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -17.23%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-10 15:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -17.23%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-10 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -17.23%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-10 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -6.73%E -3.74%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -17.23%E -4.59%K -6.26%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-10 15:24
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -9.50%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-10 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.34%EV -7.25%E -4.05%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.14%EV -13.32%E -4.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -7.76%E -4.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.01%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-10 15:24
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -8.28%E -4.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.31%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -5.09%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-10 16:05
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.72%EV -8.80%E -5.00%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.85%EV -6.27%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-10 16:10
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.32%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.43%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-10 15:39
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.32%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-10 15:00
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.32%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-10 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.32%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-10 15:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -11.91%E -7.01%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -0.785%E -0.207%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-10 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -11.91%E -7.01%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -11.71%E -2.93%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-10 15:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.05%EV -11.91%E -7.01%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -15.15%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.25%EV -13.92%E -3.57%K -4.80%G +0.000%15.2%2026-11-10 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.38%EV -14.50%E -8.79%K -22.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -3.40%E -0.918%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -7.30%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-10 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.50%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%0.8%2026-11-10 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-11-10 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11%2.8%2026-11-10 16:10

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