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Colchester United v Ipswich Town U21

2026-11-10 19:45 UTC — EFL Trophy

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colchester United (Local)

Prediction 38.56%2.59fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.58%38.60%38.40%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.342.322.5047.62%42.82%43.10%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ipswich Town U21 (Visit)

Prediction 39.19%2.55fair odd
EV -3.98%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.83%39.20%39.24%40.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.322.4547.62%42.94%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.24%4.50fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.99%22.21%22.37%23.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.004.004.3326.32%25.03%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Colchester United (Local): 38.56%; Ipswich Town U21 (Visit): 39.19%; Draw: 22.24%. For Colchester United (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -3.59%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -8.80%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-10 15:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-10 15:49
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 15:50
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.82%E -5.25%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -15.47%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-10 15:50
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.18%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.34%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.48%EV -3.90%E -0.903%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-10 16:10
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -8.80%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-10 16:05
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.61%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.25%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -13.24%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-10 16:05
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-10 15:50
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.53%EV -11.82%E -5.25%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -15.47%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-10 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.37%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.07%EV -4.77%E -1.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.80%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-10 15:40
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.58%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -6.57%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-10 15:54
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -10.15%E -4.35%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.82%EV -9.08%E -3.91%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -10.15%E -4.35%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.82%EV -9.08%E -3.91%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -10.53%E -4.54%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-10 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -10.53%E -4.54%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-10 15:39
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -10.53%E -4.54%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-10 15:40
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -10.53%E -4.54%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-10 15:40
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -10.53%E -4.54%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-10 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -10.53%E -4.54%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-10 15:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.51%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.51%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -3.68%E -0.850%K -1.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 15:39
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -5.94%E -2.48%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.24%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -12.13%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-10 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.24%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -12.13%E -3.07%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-10 15:39
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.47%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-10 15:49
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.47%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-10 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.47%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-10 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.23%EV -15.47%E -4.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-10 15:49
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.14%EV -12.07%E -5.30%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.24%E -3.40%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-10 15:39
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.97%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -17.70%E -8.43%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%17.1%2026-11-10 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.65%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.06%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -6.57%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-10 16:05
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.33%EV -19.02%E -9.06%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.50%EV -13.78%E -6.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -11.02%E -2.76%K -3.67%G +0.000%18.1%2026-11-10 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-11-10 16:10