The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Bristol Rovers v Reading

2026-11-10 19:00 UTC — EFL Trophy

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bristol Rovers (Local)

Prediction 20.95%4.77fair odd
EV -5.73%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.87%21.02%20.94%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.204.204.5026.32%23.78%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Reading (Visit)

Prediction 57.27%1.75fair odd
EV -0.922%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.41%57.13%57.26%58.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.621.611.7368.03%61.57%62.11%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.78%4.59fair odd
EV -5.47%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.77%21.85%21.80%24.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.984.004.3426.67%25.13%25.00%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bristol Rovers (Local): 20.95%; Reading (Visit): 57.27%; Draw: 21.78%. For Reading (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.73, with an expected value of -0.922%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -5.50%E -3.34%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-10 15:49
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -7.22%E -4.46%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-10 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -7.43%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-10 15:55
TAB🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -9.51%E -6.02%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -5.73%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -12.95%E -8.52%K -24.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-10 16:05
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.82%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.46%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -6.34%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-10 16:05
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.82%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-10 16:04
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.82%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-10 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.82%E -1.78%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-10 15:25
1xBet🎯4.39I 22.78%NM 20.71%EV -8.03%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.83%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.45%EV -11.79%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.79%EV -9.29%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.98%EV -9.51%E -6.02%K -16.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.23%EV -11.79%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-10 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -9.29%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.29%EV -10.09%E -6.42%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 16:05
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.66%EV -9.29%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -10.09%E -6.42%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-10 16:05
Pinnacle🎯4.32I 23.15%NM 21.60%EV -9.50%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.90%EV -6.08%E -3.70%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.50%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-10 15:40
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -9.92%E -2.31%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.52%EV -11.23%E -7.25%K -20.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-10 16:05
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -15.06%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-10 15:55
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -17.23%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-10 16:05
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -17.23%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-10 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -17.23%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-10 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.01%E -2.86%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -17.23%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-10 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -14.11%E -3.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.44%EV -0.922%E -0.533%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -16.15%E -4.19%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -17.23%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 14:05
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -17.23%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -17.23%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -17.23%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 14:15
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -17.23%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -17.23%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.64%E -1.55%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -17.23%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 14:15
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.36%EV -7.79%E -4.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -5.69%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-10 15:39
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.53%EV -3.79%E -2.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -18.32%E -4.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.53%EV -3.79%E -2.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -18.32%E -4.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-10 15:14
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.29%EV -16.20%E -4.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 57.94%EV -15.81%E -10.76%K -33.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.77%EV -10.70%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%17.4%2026-11-10 16:09
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -17.25%E -4.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%EV -4.36%E -2.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -18.32%E -4.89%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-10 15:39
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -20.39%E -5.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -10.09%E -6.42%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%15.0%2026-11-10 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-11-10 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-11-10 16:05
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.12%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.98%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-11-10 16:10