The School of Odds
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Bradford City v York City

2026-11-10 19:30 UTC — EFL Trophy

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bradford City (Local)

Prediction 59.89%1.67fair odd
EV -5.97%
Edge -3.81%
Kelly -10.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.41%59.85%59.95%61.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.501.5768.97%66.04%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

York City (Visit)

Prediction 19.25%5.20fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.447%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.15%19.29%19.10%20.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.724.755.1023.09%21.16%21.05%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.86%4.79fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -0.877%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.41%20.86%20.95%22.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.314.354.6025.64%23.19%22.99%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Bradford City (Local): 59.89%; York City (Visit): 19.25%; Draw: 20.86%. For York City (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.10, with an expected value of -1.83%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.62%EV -5.97%E -3.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -5.68%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-10 15:49
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -5.97%E -3.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -5.97%E -3.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-10 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 18.88%EV -4.91%E -0.994%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -7.16%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-10 15:55
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.17%E -4.63%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.38%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -18.64%E -4.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-10 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.82%EV -7.77%E -5.05%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -1.83%E -0.359%K -0.447%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-10 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -7.77%E -5.05%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -3.76%E -0.752%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-10 15:40
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -7.77%E -5.05%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -10.29%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-10 16:05
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -8.57%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-10 15:49
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.72%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.03%EV -7.61%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -10.29%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-10 15:54
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -13.38%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -18.64%E -4.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-10 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -13.38%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -18.64%E -4.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-10 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -13.38%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -18.64%E -4.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-10 15:24
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.63%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -3.76%E -0.752%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-10 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.26%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.80%EV -12.42%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -10.29%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-10 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.84%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -5.68%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-10 14:05
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -3.76%E -0.752%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -11.33%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-10 16:05
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.61%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-10 14:05
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.61%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.61%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-10 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.61%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-10 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.61%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-10 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.61%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-10 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.48%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV -7.61%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-10 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -8.57%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-10 15:54
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-10 15:55
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -16.65%E -3.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-10 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -11.36%E -7.68%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -8.57%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.60%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-10 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -11.36%E -7.68%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -8.57%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.60%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-10 15:14
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.42%EV -11.36%E -7.68%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -9.53%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.56%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-10 15:39
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.03%EV -11.36%E -7.68%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.66%EV -10.29%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-10 15:40
Bet Victor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.95%EV -11.96%E -8.14%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -8.20%E -1.86%K -2.41%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-10 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.59%EV -13.16%E -9.08%K -29.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -9.53%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -4.03%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.77%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.19%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.04%1.8%2026-11-10 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.12%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.03%1.9%2026-11-10 16:10
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.45%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.23%3.0%2026-11-10 16:10

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