The School of Odds
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Barnet v Leyton Orient

2026-11-10 19:00 UTC — EFL Trophy

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnet (Local)

Prediction 39.72%2.52fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.66%39.88%39.61%42.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.4047.62%43.67%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leyton Orient (Visit)

Prediction 35.16%2.84fair odd
EV -5.07%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.16%34.93%35.32%36.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.572.552.7042.02%38.99%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV -5.78%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.15%25.19%25.07%26.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.613.653.7530.30%27.69%27.40%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Barnet (Local): 39.72%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 35.16%; Draw: 25.13%. For Barnet (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.40, with an expected value of -4.68%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.68%E -1.95%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-10 15:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.67%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.67%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-10 15:24
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.39%EV -6.67%E -2.84%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-10 14:15
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09%EV -7.46%E -3.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.31%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-10 15:55
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -7.46%E -3.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 35.89%EV -11.75%E -4.68%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 25.45%EV -11.06%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.66%EV -7.46%E -3.20%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 35.89%EV -11.75%E -4.68%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 25.45%EV -11.06%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -7.86%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:05
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -7.86%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -7.86%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -7.86%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:15
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -7.86%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -7.86%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -7.86%E -3.39%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-10 14:15
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-10 16:05
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.14%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.24%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-10 15:39
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-10 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-10 15:25
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-10 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.35%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:04
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.21%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.08%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.21%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.08%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-10 15:14
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.65%E -3.76%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-10 14:15
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.42%EV -9.45%E -4.14%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-10 15:39
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-10 15:40
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-10 15:25
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -17.09%E -5.18%K -7.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-10 15:49
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -17.09%E -5.18%K -7.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-10 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -17.09%E -5.18%K -7.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-10 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -10.64%E -4.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -8.59%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -17.09%E -5.18%K -7.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-10 15:49
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -14.61%E -6.80%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.82%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-10 15:40
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.38%EV -14.61%E -6.80%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.47%EV -16.32%E -6.86%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.15%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%15.2%2026-11-10 14:58
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -16.60%E -7.90%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -5.07%E -1.88%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-10 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-11-10 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%2.0%2026-11-10 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%2.0%2026-11-10 16:10