Language:English
Wycombe Wanderers v Stevenage
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wycombe Wanderers (Local)
Prediction 47.86%2.09fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.73%51.49%48.11%68.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.651.832.0075.76%60.70%54.64%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stevenage (Visit)
Prediction 25.65%3.90fair odd
EV +56.45%
Edge +9.25%
Kelly +11.07%
Growth +6.25%
assuming max odds 6.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.81%23.95%25.36%28.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.254.753.856.1030.77%21.05%25.97%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.50%3.77fair odd
EV +43.08%
Edge +7.98%
Kelly +9.79%
Growth +4.22%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.73%24.56%26.53%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.204.413.605.4031.25%22.66%27.78%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wycombe Wanderers (Local): 47.86%; Stevenage (Visit): 25.65%; Draw: 26.50%. For Stevenage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +56.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 05:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -36.83%E -27.90%K -115.09%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV +56.45%E +9.25%K +11.07%G +6.25% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV +43.08%E +7.98%K +9.79%G +4.22% | 10.7% | 2026-06-30 08:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -1.26%E -0.327%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-26 11:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -5.11%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.26%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 09:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.68%E -3.42%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.11%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.26%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-02 21:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.11%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.26%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-02 21:23 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.11%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.26%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-02 21:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.07%E -4.77%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-30 09:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.11%EV -4.76%E -2.39%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.48%EV -9.21%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-02 08:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -8.11%E -4.23%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.52%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.62%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.59%E -4.50%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-02 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.03%EV -12.42%E -6.79%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.08%EV -15.36%E -4.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -15.21%E -4.75%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-06-30 03:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -16.65%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -16.65%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -16.65%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -4.29%E -2.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -16.65%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.26%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-30 14:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77% | 190.3% | 2026-06-26 15:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77% | 190.3% | 2026-06-26 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77% | 190.3% | 2026-06-26 15:39 |
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