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Walsall v Leyton Orient

2026-08-25 15:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Walsall (Local)

Prediction 29.26%3.42fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.67%29.26%29.47%29.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.253.253.3031.75%30.72%30.72%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leyton Orient (Visit)

Prediction 44.21%2.26fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.836%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.46%44.21%44.00%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.102.2248.78%47.23%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.53%3.77fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.88%26.53%26.52%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.593.603.6028.17%27.86%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Walsall (Local): 29.26%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 44.21%; Draw: 26.53%. For Leyton Orient (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.22, with an expected value of -1.86%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.43%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.16%E -3.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 16:19
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.43%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.16%E -3.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.35%EV -4.02%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -2.74%E -1.25%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.89%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 17:34
1xBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.59%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.46%EV -1.86%E -0.836%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.95%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 18:10
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -8.04%E -3.87%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 16:19
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.37%E -4.57%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:19
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -9.37%E -4.57%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -4.50%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 16:19
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -5.39%E -2.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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