Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Walsall v Leyton Orient

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Final: Walsall 0–0 Leyton Orient

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Walsall (Local)

Prediction 33.78%2.96fair odd
EV -0.339%
Edge -0.115%
Kelly -0.174%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.84%33.65%33.71%34.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.802.9538.46%35.72%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leyton Orient (Visit)

Prediction 38.36%2.61fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.551%
Kelly -0.902%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.69%38.45%38.44%40.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.392.372.5744.84%41.92%42.19%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.86%3.59fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.714%
Kelly -1.000%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%27.90%27.85%29.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.313.353.5032.26%30.19%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Walsall (Local): 33.78%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 38.36%; Draw: 27.86%. For Walsall (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.339%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -0.339%E -0.115%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -0.339%E -0.115%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:38
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -0.339%E -0.115%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -0.339%E -0.115%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -0.339%E -0.115%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -0.339%E -0.115%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -0.339%E -0.115%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -0.339%E -0.115%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -0.339%E -0.115%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -0.339%E -0.115%K -0.174%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.03%E -0.699%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -8.70%E -3.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -2.03%E -0.699%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -9.09%E -3.83%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:09
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -2.03%E -0.699%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -9.09%E -3.83%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:09
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -2.70%E -0.939%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.60%EV -5.64%E -2.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.43%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 18:35
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -2.70%E -0.939%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.72%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 18:09
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -3.72%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-25 18:09
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -3.72%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -12.54%E -5.50%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-25 18:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%EV -4.73%E -1.68%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.58%EV -1.80%E -0.703%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -4.73%E -1.68%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.16%EV -5.84%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -4.73%E -1.68%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.16%EV -5.84%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 18:19
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -5.41%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:38
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -5.41%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 18:37
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.41%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.41%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.000%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:14
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.41%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -1.000%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:14
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.63%EV -6.08%E -2.19%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.46%EV -1.42%E -0.551%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -3.89%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.856%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:38
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.93%EV -7.17%E -2.96%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.70%EV -14.46%E -6.48%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-25 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.70%EV -14.46%E -6.48%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-25 18:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.70%EV -14.46%E -6.48%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-25 18:09
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.78%EV -8.11%E -2.98%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 18:39
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 18:30
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 18:39
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 18:19
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 18:19
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:29
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -10.47%E -3.95%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 18:19
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -11.49%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 18:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.49%E -4.38%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.00%EV -9.86%E -4.19%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-25 18:38
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-25 18:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.67%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-08-25 18:39
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.67%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.43%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.54%1.5%2026-08-25 18:39