Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 6.40
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 4.55
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Preston North End (Local): 15.35%; Everton (Visit): 63.39%; Draw: 21.26%. For Preston North End (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.40, with an expected value of -1.73%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV -1.73%E -0.270%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.78%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -3.27%E -0.720%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.59%EV -4.80%E -0.774%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.17%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV -3.27%E -0.720%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-11 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.43%EV -7.56%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.21%EV -6.82%E -4.64%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -7.53%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 19:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 02:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 02:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.46%E -1.47%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 02:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.72%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.95%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-12 02:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.87%E -1.31%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.72%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -7.95%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-12 02:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -15.55%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.72%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.71%E -2.55%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-11 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -17.08%E -3.16%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.03%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -14.97%E -3.74%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-11 18:16 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.